We cut our FY27E EPS estimates by 4% as we account for dilution impact resulting from issuance of ~169.5mn fully convertible warrants at a price of Rs132 on a preferential basis to entities forming part of the promoter group. Out of the total preferential proceeds of ~Rs22.4bn, Z IN plans to deploy ~Rs10bn towards building new businesses, ~Rs7.1bn towards inorganic expansion while the balance will be utilized for general & corporate purposes. Post warrant conversion, promoter stake will increase to 18.3% lending better execution comfort on achieving 1) TV viewership share of ~17.5%, 2) adrevenue growth of ~8-10% and 3) EBITDA margin of ~18-20% in FY26E. We...
Oil prices decline, LPG under-recovery improves: A slew of concerns over trade tariffs and global GDP combined with increased supply of 1.2mnbopd resulted in Brent diving to below USD60/bbl for a while and then picking up subsequently to average USD68/bbl during the quarter, a decline from USD75.7/bbl in Q4FY25. Decline in oil prices would result in falling realizations of ~8% QoQ for ONGC and Oil India. Decline in oil prices would aid gross marketing margins on petrol and diesel sequentially from Rs10.4/6.4/lit to Rs12/10/lit respectively. Decline in benchmark LPG prices would also reduce...
Building Material companies under our coverage universe are expected to report single digit revenue growth due to weak demand, along with contraction in margins due to fluctuations in PVC resin prices in plastic pipe companies and tiles, due to oversupply in the domestic market, which has leads pricing pressure. We anticipate moderate volume growth of 5.2% YoY in plastic pipe sector. Tiles and bathware sectors are likely to experience single digit growth expecting demand to pick up in H2FY26. We expect coverage companies to register sales growth of 4.3% YoY, given correction in Finolex Ind revenue and...
JV with UPL to commercialize in FY27; gradual ramp-up expected Aarti Industries demonstrated a volume growth of 17% in FY25, however realizations across key products remained subdued, resulting in lower margins. For FY26, the management has guided double-digit volume growth and expects margins to remain stable. The Energy segment, which contributed 36% to the company's topline in FY25 and is largely comprised of MMA, saw sequential improvement in export volumes, although pricing pressure persists due to...
to ensure non-compete and synergy alignment between AHEL and NewCo, with clear role demarcation - AHEL to focus on core healthcare and NewCo on pharmacy & digital. The demerger was on expected lines and is aimed to unlock value by creating a focused, high-growth platform in the pharmacy and digital healthcare space, which is more consumer centric in nature. The stake sale in HealthCo to Advent and merger with Keimed are a positive step and will lead to an integrated pharmacy distribution business. Scale-up in...
hikes the improvement in margins would either be flat or negligible due to missing operating leverage. We expect median revenue growth to decline by 1.2% QoQ in CC terms & grow 0.5% QoQ in USD terms. Currency volatility continues with major currencies like EUR and GBP having strengthened against USD by 5.9% and 7.6% QoQ, respectively, which will translate into tailwinds to the tune of 60-400bps QoQ in reported terms. Vertical wise, BFSI should continue its growth momentum, while hi-tech and ENU should also support growth for selective names. Manufacturing and...
We conducted channel checks of paint dealers across regions. Our interaction suggests that 1) 1Q has seen decent demand with QoQ improvement, however recovery remains slow 2) demand outlook remains positive led by lower inflation, interest rate cuts, tax reductions and normal monsoons. Asian Paints is experiencing a year-on-year decline in the West and South regions, sales in the East remained flat while north India sales trends show mid-high single digit growth. For Kansai Nerolac, the South market is weak, whereas other regions are performing well....
chronic therapies and opens up many newer therapeutic areas. The deal also adds JBCP's CDMO vertical, offering diversification and growth optionality. The acquisition is likely to be debt-funded requiring Rs 122bn to fund acquisition upfront. We see JBCP current OPM of 2728% to scale to 31-32% (similar to current TRP margins) via sourcing efficiencies, cost rationalization, and pricing actions on keys brands. Historically TRP have managed to integrate...
Given its lean cost structure and partnership with local doctors/ leadership outside Andhra Pradesh (AP) and Telangana, the management remains confident of achieving faster breakeven and +25% OPM across Maharashtra,...
Dealers expect prices to decline further in Jul'25 as the monsoon picks up. However, prices remain strong compared to FY25 and YoY prices are up significantly in Southern & Eastern regions. We interacted with cement dealers across regions in India to assess the demand and pricing scenario in Jun'25. Our discussions indicate a mixed demand environment across markets. While heatwaves continued to impact...
