Highest Upside

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

About stock: JSW Infrastructure Limited, part of the $24 billion JSW Group is fastgrowing ports-related infrastructure company and second-largest private port operator with a capacity of 177 million tons per annum (MTPA). It operates twelve Port Concessions and 2 port terminals under O&M agreements in UAE. Its logistics (Navkar, Gati Shakti Terminal) business owns 2450+ Domestic standard containers,...

Soft Q2; Mid to long term growth outlook intact fast-growing ports-related infrastructure company and second-largest private port operator with a capacity of 177 million tons per annum (MTPA). It operates twelve Port Concessions and 2 port terminals under O&M agreements in UAE. Its logistics (Navkar, Gati Shakti Terminal) business owns 2450+ Domestic standard...

TCI Express’ (TCIE) Q1FY26 EBITDA was slightly below consensus estimates. Volume fell 0.9% YoY to 233kte
(235kte in Q1FY25) on subdued demand. EBITDA margin improved QoQ to 9.8% (vs. 8.5% in Q4FY25 and 11.2% in Q1FY25), mainly on account of 75bps price hike and stable variable costs in Q1.

In Q1FY26, Delhivery beat estimates in terms of growth and profitability. Express parcel volume grew 13.7% YoY, improving from FY25’s 2–3% volume growth trend.

JSWINFRA’s strategy of augmenting capacity, modernizing infrastructure, and pursuing selective acquisitions is well aligned with India’s long-term port sector growth ambitions, as the government targets a fourfold expansion of capacity to 10,000MTPA by FY47 from the current ~2,700MTPA.

We expect CSL to witness healthy growth in revenues & profitability over FY25-28E, led by execution pick-up in both the segments and increasing share of margin accretive ship-repair segment. We estimate revenue & PAT...

CONCOR’s Q1FY26 EBITDA of INR 4.26bn missed consensus estimates by ~9%. Overall volume grew 11.3% YoY (EXIM- 12% and domestic- 9.1%), EBITDA was impacted due to volume discount reconciliation and increase in employee cost (one time performance bonus) of INR 180mn.

JSWINFRA’s focus on brownfield capacity augmentation, infrastructure modernization, and strategic acquisitions aligns with India’s port sector growth drivers (government plans to quadruple port capacity to 10,000MTPA by FY47 from ~2,700MTPA currently).

In FY25, JSWINFRA handled 117MMT of cargo (up 9% YoY), supported by higher volumes at terminals in Mangalore, Ennore, and Paradip, along with the commencement of interim operations at JNPA and Tuticorin.

VRL Logistics’ (VRLL) management implemented a price hike of 8-10% in Jun’24, which was rolled out across customer segments.

VRL’s revenue was flat YoY at INR8.0b (+7% QoQ) in 2QFY26, in line with our estimate. Volume dipped 11% YoY to 0.97m tons, while realization grew by 12% YoY to INR 8,079/ton, driven by a price hike.

Transport Corporation of India’s (TRPC) Q2FY26 EBITDA of INR 1,267mn was slightly below consensus estimates. Revenue and EBITDA grew by 7.5% and 8.2% YoY, respectively. Blended EBITDA margin remained range bound at 10.5%.

Transport Corporation of India’s (TRPC) revenue grew 7.5% YoY to ~INR12b in 2QFY26 (in line). Revenue growth experienced a slowdown across segments despite the company witnessing strong demand across auto, FMCG, and consumer durables.

Transport Corporation of India’s (TRPC) Q1FY26 EBITDA of INR 1,210mn was broadly in line with consensus estimates. Overall revenue/EBITDA grew 9%/16% YoY. Blended EBITDA margin rose to 10.6% (9.9%/10.3% in
Q1FY25/Q4FY25), mainly due to improved margins in seaways (36.9% EBIT in Q1FY26).

JSW Infrastructure (JSWIL) reported a muted set of volumes at its ports at 29.4mt, with organic growth flat at 28mt and new acquisition adding 1.4mt in Q1FY26.

Powering India's logistics with seamless and smart supply chain solutions

Blue Dart Express’s (BDE) revenue grew ~7% YoY to INR15.5b in 2QFY26 (in line). The company handled 0.36m tons of cargo volumes (+6% YoY) in 2QFY26.

ADSEZ reported a strong cons operating performance in Q1FY26, driven by a healthy 11% cargo volume growth and robust growth in logistics and marine business. Domestic cargo volume growth was tad weaker at 6% due to geopolitical issues during the quarter and lower iron ore volumes at Dhamra. International volume growth was underpinned by the commencement of...

Nailing the LCC model, IndiGo managed to capture its home market achieving ~64.4% share, supported by a fleet of ~416 aircraft and an orderbook of ~910 aircraft.