Highest Upside

Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) posted a 12% YoY India revenue growth (inline), led by a 13% YoY increase in store additions. The same-store sales rose 5%, led by dine-in traffic growth and value offerings.

Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) posted India revenue growth of 13% YoY (inline), led by a 14% YoY rise in store additions.

Unlocking Value in an expanding business hospitality landscape

We anticipate modest multiple compression over the next two years as the company transitions from hypergrowth to steady compounding. The applied multiples (55.0x for FY26E and 50.0x for FY27E) remain premium but reflect a necessary normalization from the market's current peak valuation (61.3x).

Restaurant Brands Asia (RBA) posted revenue growth of 16% YoY for its Indian business (in line), led by a 15% YoY rise in store additions. Same-store sales rose 2.8%, led by healthy traction across both the channels and value offerings.

We increase our PAT estimates after accounting for minority interest by 20.6%/12.7% for FY26E/FY27E as we re-align our debt & interest forecast post fund infusion by GIC into a newly created JV platform for upscale hotel assets. SAMHI reported an in-line operating performance with EBITDA margin of 38.1% (PLe 36.9%) while PAT was impacted by an exceptional charge of Rs194mn; offset by a tax write back of Rs233mn. We expect top-line CAGR of 12.9% over the next 2 years led by addition of 245 keys with an EBITDA margin of...

SAMHI IN reported a miss at operating level with EBITDA margin of 33.2% (PLe 34.7%) as revenue growth in May-25 dropped to mid-single digit due to geopolitical events. However, recovery was swift in June-25 with same-store RevPAR registering a growth of 10.3% YoY to Rs4,760 in 1QFY26. We expect top-line CAGR of 13% over the next 2 years led by addition of 245 keys with an EBITDA margin of 37.5%/38.8% in FY26E/FY27E. After the fund infusion by GIC...

With a 13% upside potential from the CMP, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Ambitious 2030 growth plan and asset-light strategy

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels Ltd.'s (ASPHL) Q4FY25 result was broadly in-line with our estimates on net sales and EBITDA front, while net profitability disappointed. The company witnessed an increase of 13% YoY in both ARR at 8,758, and RevPAR at 8,074, while occupancy stood at 92%. The management reiterated high teens growth for FY26E, which is encouraging. ASPHL intends to double its key count to about 5400 keys in the next 5 years including 1,011 keys of its own. In Q4FY25 ASPHL signed a binding MoU for the acquisition 60 service apartment under Zillion Hotels and Resorts at Juhu, Mumbai. Further, the...

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock and value it at an EV/EBITDA of 18x for FY27E to arrive at a target Rs 380/share price

Brigade Hotel Ventures (BHVL) clocked strong 14% same-store RevPAR in Q2FY26, resulting in 16% YoY revenue growth and 15% adj. EBITDA growth.

Sapphire Foods India (SAPPHIRE) reported revenue growth of 8% YoY (in line) in 1QFY26, driven by a 10% YoY increase in store count. KFC’s revenue grew 11% YoY, supported by 15% store expansion.

JFL delivered 12.1% LFL growth (delivery LFL growth of 21.9%) in Domino’s’ India in Q4FY25 amid subdued demand, beating peers for another quarter. Standalone performance was good, with revenues growing by 19.2% y-o-y to Rs. 1,587 crore on strong delivery-led growth in Domino’s.

Apeejay Surrendra Park Hotels Ltd.'s (ASPHL) Q1FY26 was in-line with our estimate on net sales and EBITDA front, while net profitability disappointed. The company during the quarter witnessed an increase of 13% YoY in ARR at Rs7,335, and 11.5% in RevPAR at Rs6,751. While occupancy for Q1FY26 stood at 92%. Total Revenue from the F&B segment stood at Rs660mn during Q1FY26, contributing 42% to the total revenue. Revenue from management contracts in Q1FY26 was Rs40mn. This division is expected to generate over Rs200mn in revenue by year-end, potentially reaching Rs250mn with new additions. The...

Indian Hotels (IH IN) reported Q1FY26 consolidated revenue of INR 20.4bn and EBITDA of INR 5.8bn (2% above I-sec estimate of INR5.7bn) driven by higher standalone ARR of INR 14,552 (up 12% YoY).

Q2FY26 performance: Consolidated revenues grew by 8% YoY to Rs.839.5cr in Q2FY26 driven by 7% growth in the standalone revenues and 14% YoY growth in the subsidiaries revenues. Domestic RevPar grew by 9.5% YoY to Rs.8,100/night while ITC Ratnadipa Sri Lanka RevPar grew by 1.6x YoY, witnessing a fast scaleup since its launch in Apr,24. Consolidated EBIDTA margins improved by 200bps YoY to 29.3%; operating EBIDTA grew by 16% YoY to Rs245.8cr. Higher other...

IHCL reported stellar Q1FY26 results beating our and consensus estimates on all key parameters. The company delivered 13th best ever quarter aided by healthy demand in domestic market and improved operational performance of overseas hotels. Moreover, despite unpresented disruptions, RevPAR growth in domestic market is commendable. The management reiterated healthy double digit RevPAR growth in FY26E, aided by healthy demand, increasing FTA and higher spending on MICE, weddings etc. IHCL's new business are growing at a robust pace and will continue to support consolidated earnings. Net sales increased by...

Sapphire’s Q4 EBITDA was in line with our muted expectations. Overall/India revenue grew 13%/10%, largely led by store additions in India and a ~31% growth rebound in Sri Lanka.

IHCL’s Q4FY25 numbers were strong with consolidated revenues rising 27% y-o-y to Rs. 2,425 crore (in line with expectation of Rs. 2,440 crore) driven by growth across all businesses, EBITDA margin rising 70 bps y-o-y to 35.3% (in line with 35.4% expected) and adjusted PAT growing by 38% y-o-y to Rs. 542 crore (in line with expectation of Rs. 540 crore).