Highest Upside

Valuations inexpensive: Over the last eight months, MAHGL’s share price has corrected ~30%, with the stock now trading at 11x FY27E P/E.

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

MAHGL is set to deliver robust earnings growth, driven by aggressive CNG network expansion, improving throughput at existing stations, and strategic land tie-ups that strengthen long-term visibility.

Mahanagar Gas (MAHGL)’s 1QFY26 adj. EBITDA margin of INR9.7/scm was below our est. of INR10.6/scm (reported EBITDA: INR12.9/scm).

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs 1,920/share, offering 27% upside from the current levels.

GAIL’s FY25 performance was steady, with ~8% growth in EBITDA and ~7% growth in PAT. Going forward, the company is set to see strong profitability via the imminent tariff increase in the transmission business, but the company is cognizant of headwinds in gas demand for FY26.

Q2FY26 performance: Wabag reported steady operational performance in Q2FY26 with revenues growing 20% YoY to 834 crore. Material costs (limited by forex gain) impacted EBITDA margins, which fell 30 bps YoY to 14.4%, EBITDA up 17% YoY to 120.5 crore. PAT margins decline to 21 bps YoY at 9.7%. Consequently, PAT came in at 95 crore up 20% YoY. On a segmental basis, India (48% of revenue mix and international business (52%) grew 8% and 25% YoY. EBIT margins for India and International business at 17% and 26%, +280 bps and -1020 bps YoY. Wabag's unexecuted order book stood at ~16020crore with 3477 crore order inflow (80%...

VATW's momentum in delivering strong performance is expected to continue in the medium term driven by a strong order backlog and immense opportunities it has identified in the international markets, which will enable order inflows. We expect EBITDA...

VA Tech Wabag (Wabag) reported another good quarter with revenue at INR 8.3bn, up 19% YoY, driven by sustained execution across domestic and overseas projects. EBITDA rose 17% YoY to INR 1.2bn with margin at 14.4% (adjusted for forex). Profit grew 20% YoY to INR 0.8bn.

VA Tech Wabag Limited (Va Tech) reported a strong performance during Q4FY2025 with sales growth of 23.8% y-o-y to Rs. 1,156 crore. This helped them meet the 15% revenue growth guidance for FY25.

VA Tech Wabag Limited (Va Tech) reported a strong performance during Q1FY2026 with sales growth of 17.2% y-o-y to Rs. 734 crore.

As a result of relaxation in pricing terms for industrials combined with incentives for goods carriers taken a few quarters back, MAHGL continued its stellar volume growth at 9.6% in Q1FY26. Adj EBITDA/scm stood at Rs9.7. As a result, Adjusted EBITDA stood at Rs3.7bn (Ple/BBGe Rs4bn, -11% YoY and +18% QoQ). Adjusted PAT stood at Rs2.4bn (Ple Rs2.8bn, BBGe Rs2.6bn, -9% YoY and +6.8% QoQ). We believe that the volume momentum is likely to sustain, especially due to strong pick up in GA3, momentum in CNG adoption by goods...

We maintain our BUY recommendation on the stock.

We initiate coverage on Mahanagar Gas Limited (MGL) with a BUY recommendation and a target price of Rs 1,540/share, implying a potential upside of 20% from the current market price (CMP)

Mahanagar Gas (MGL) delivered volume growth with a 9% YoY jump in volume to 4.6mmscmd, including UEPL. However, sharply lower APM allocation, INR depreciation and higher spot LNG drove EBITDA/scm to a 13-quarter low.

GAIL India (GAIL) reported 29%/34% YoY dip in Q1FY26 adj. EBITDA/PAT (flat/-13% QoQ) driven by weaker performance of gas trading and petchem. Gas trading performance declined by 47%/11% QoQ/YoY with sharply lower margins offsetting a 6mmscmd YoY jump in volume.

In 1QFY26, IGL’s EBITDA margin of INR6.2/scm came in below our est. of INR6.8/scm. Volumes at 9.13mmscmd stood in line with our estimate.

As per media reports and our channel checks, Indraprastha Gas (IGL) could see a potential EBITDA/scm upside of 16-20% due to a change in the tax rate on gas sourced from Gujarat (official confirmation is awaited).

25.8mmscmd to 29.65mmscmd during the quarter QoQ led primarily by power from Rs332 to Rs149. As a result of higher volume QoQ and lower opex, EBITDA grew a sharp 62% QoQ to Rs2bn (Ple Rs1.5bn, BBGe Rs1.6bn). PAT came in at Rs1.4bn (Ple Rs1.2bn, BBGe Rs1.1bn). The stock is currently trading at 20.6x...