Highest Upside

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

Gateway Distriparks (GRFL)’s Q2FY26 EBITDA was in line with consensus estimates. Rail volume grew
9.2% YoY while CFS volume grew 2.6% YoY.

TCI Express (TCIE)’s Q2FY26 EBITDA of INR 33.5mn was broadly in line with consensus estimates. Volumes were largely stable at 248kte (250kte in Q2FY25). EBITDA margin improved QoQ to 10.9% (vs. 9.8% in Q1FY26 and 11.8% in Q2FY25), mainly on account of 25bps price hike and cost stabilisation and optimisation.

TCI Express’ (TCIE) Q1FY26 EBITDA was slightly below consensus estimates. Volume fell 0.9% YoY to 233kte
(235kte in Q1FY25) on subdued demand. EBITDA margin improved QoQ to 9.8% (vs. 8.5% in Q4FY25 and 11.2% in Q1FY25), mainly on account of 75bps price hike and stable variable costs in Q1.

Express parcel volumes grew 33% YoY, with 24% YoY revenue growth. Express parcel’s yield declined 3% QoQ due to inferior mix. PTL tonnage grew 12% YoY despite a 3% YoY price increase, which shows Delhivery’s pricing power.

In Q1FY26, Delhivery beat estimates in terms of growth and profitability. Express parcel volume grew 13.7% YoY, improving from FY25’s 2–3% volume growth trend.

Blue Dart Express’s (BDE) revenue grew ~7% YoY to INR15.5b in 2QFY26 (in line). The company handled 0.36m tons of cargo volumes (+6% YoY) in 2QFY26.

CONCOR’s Q1FY26 EBITDA of INR 4.26bn missed consensus estimates by ~9%. Overall volume grew 11.3% YoY (EXIM- 12% and domestic- 9.1%), EBITDA was impacted due to volume discount reconciliation and increase in employee cost (one time performance bonus) of INR 180mn.

Delhivery posted a 17% YoY rise in revenue to INR25.6b in 2QFY26 (in line). During the quarter, the company recognized INR900m of costs related to ecom express integration. The acquisition was formally completed in Jul’25.

Blue Dart Express (BDE)’s revenues grew 7% YoY to INR14.2b (6% below our estimate). The company handled 0.33m tons of cargo volumes(+11% YoY) in 4QFY25.

VRL Logistics’ (VRLL) management implemented a price hike of 8-10% in Jun’24, which was rolled out across customer segments.

VRL’s revenue was flat YoY at INR8.0b (+7% QoQ) in 2QFY26, in line with our estimate. Volume dipped 11% YoY to 0.97m tons, while realization grew by 12% YoY to INR 8,079/ton, driven by a price hike.

VRL Logistics (VRL)’s Q2FY26 EBITDA was slightly ahead of Street’s estimate. Realisation/te improved 12.8% YoY to INR 7,166, while EBITDA/te has improved to INR 1,548 (INR 1,216 in Q2FY25).

According to the RBI, total electronic payments surged to INR11.3t on 22nd Sep’25, nearly ten times higher than the INR1.18t recorded the previous day.

Blue Dart Express’ (BDE) Q1FY26 performance was below consensus estimates. Number of shipments rose 4.4% YoY while volume (in tonnage) grew 8.6% YoY.

Blue Dart Express (BDE) revenue grew 7% YoY to INR14.4b (in line). The company handled 0.34m tons of cargo volumes(+9% YoY) in 1QFY26.

TCI Express (TCIE)’s 2QFY26 revenue was flat YoY at INR3.08b (+8% QoQ), in line with our estimate. Volume growth was flat YoY, hit by the GST rate cut.

Delhivery’s Q2FY26 results (excluding Ecom) were in line with our revenue/EBITDA estimates. With network investments in core transportation businesses (for the festive season) behind us, seasonality would aid peak profitability in H2FY26, coupled with the lower-than-anticipated integration cost (~Rs2bn vs Rs3bn earlier) boosting PAT in FY26, in our view.

Delhivery reported a 6% YoY increase in revenue to INR22.9b in 1QFY26. EBITDA surged 53% YoY to INR1.5b, resulting in an improved EBITDA margin of 6.5%.

Proceeds from rights issuance will be utilized to deleverage the BS. As of 30th June, debt on books stood at ~Rs6,040mn We increase our EPS estimates by 26%/8% for FY26E/FY27E amid interest cost reduction arising from debt repayment with the proceeds expected to be received from rights issuance. MAHLOG IN reported an in-line operating performance with an EBITDA margin of 4.7% (PLe 4.9%). While volumes in the B2B express business were up by 10% on a sequential basis, yields remained...