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MGL delivered a steady performance, driven by its robust infrastructure network, strong customer base and a reliable, albeit costlier, gas sourcing strategy. However, looking ahead, we expect MGL's focus on expanding its footprint in newly acquired geographical areas to come at the behest of discounts as it tries to balance lost volumes due to faster EV adoption and declining institutional demand. Additionally, we also factor in the management's reduced margin guidance and unpredictability in APM and new well gas allocations. Further pass-through of cost increases could be...
*over or under performance to benchmark index IGL's dependence on higher-cost alternatives to offset lower APM allocations could impact margins. Although the guidance is bullish, with management aiming for an EBITDA margin of 78/scm in the long term, medium-term profitability risks persistespecially if the company is unable to implement price hikes. The Delhi EV 2.0 policy also remains an overhang, keeping the company out of favor. Therefore,...
Gujarat Gas (GUJGA) reported decline of 4% YoY and 2% QoQ in total sales volume to 9.3mmscmd in Q4FY25 (PLe 9.7mmscmd). However, due to lower mix of industrial volume, EBITDA/scm of Rs5.4 beat our estimates of Rs4.7. EBITDA stood at Rs4.5bn (-24% YoY, +18% QoQ, PLe: Rs4.1bn, BBGe: Rs4.1bn) and PAT of Rs2.2bn (-30% YoY, +30% QoQ, PLe: Rs2.4bn, BBGe: Rs2.4bn). For the full year, EBITDA stood at Rs18.8bn, flat YoY while adj PAT stood at...
Margin guidance at Rs6-7/scm for Q1FY26 and Rs7-8/scm for long term Indraprastha Gas (IGL) reported a revenue of Rs39.5bn, however there was provision reversal of Rs1.14bn with regard to trade margin agreements with the OMCs. Accordingly, adj rev came in at Rs38.4bn, up 2.1% QoQ (PLe: Rs38.3bn, BBGe:Rs38.6bn). While reported EBITDA came in at Rs5bn, adj EBITDA stood at Rs3.8bn (up 5.4% QoQ, PLe:Rs3.9bn, BBGe: Rs4.2bn). Reported PAT came in at Rs3.5bn while adj PAT stood at Rs2.4bn (down 17.7% QoQ, PLe:Rs2.5bn,...
IGL has reported EBITDA/PAT of INR 5.8bn/INR 4.0bn, down 9.4%/8.4% YoY in Q1FY25. Volume of 8.64mmscmd grew 5.3% YoY but was down 1% QoQ, while EBITDA/scm of INR 7.4/scm saw QoQ growth and exceeded I-Sec’s estimate of INR 6.9/scm.
We downgrade GSPL to REDUCE from Buy, as the long-awaited HP grid tariff revision came as a major negative surprise. The regulated tariff was set 47% lower from Rs34/mmbtu, at Rs18.1/mmbtu (GCV, wef 1-May), and was a far call from the Rs50.8 sought by GSPL.
We downgrade GSPL to REDUCE from Buy, as the long-awaited HP grid tariff revision came as a major negative surprise. Regulated tariff was set 47% lower from Rs34/mmbtu, at Rs18.1/mmbtu (GCV, wef 1-May), and was a far call from the Rs50.8 sought by GSPL.
