Sell

NHPC reported a steady Q2FY26, wherein subdued performance in standalone plants was offset by much better performance in subsidiaries. Its consolidated plant availability declined to 78.6% in Q2 (vs 88.9% YoY) impacted by lower availability in standalone plants, especially Parbati II and III.

SBI Cards (SBIC) has been focusing on credit cost improvement and the results are becoming visible now. However, this has also led to a calibrated credit growth and directionally lower revolver mix, impacting earnings.

Colgate’s Q2FY26 result reaffirms that business remains structurally fatigued, with no visible triggers for a turnaround. Revenue declined 6.2% YoY, implying a 7-8% volume decline amid GST-led destocking and continued competitive intensity.

The stage-3 asset ratio in the gold loan portfolio declined to 2.58% in Q1FY26 from 3.98% a year earlier, supported by customer-led repayments aided by rising gold prices and flexible repayment options....

IndusInd Bank's asset quality deteriorate further with GNPA in consumer banking segment inch up to 4.7% vs 4.1% QoQ. MFI portfolio which remains key concern segment reported rise in GNPA (@16% vs 13% QoQ). Credit growth de-grew by 4% YoY (down 3% QoQ); similarly deposit growth de-grew by 3% QoQ. MFI portfolio de-grew by 5% QoQ along with sequential decline in corporate book resulting in 6% QoQ decline in loan growth. We have revised down the credit growth to 8% CAGR (FY25-27) vs 11% earlier. NIMs remain flat at 3.5% vs 3.5% QoQ (if adjusted for one-offs during Q4FY25). Bank reported profit of Rs.6bn vs loss last...

AU SFB reported weak core performance, with margins declining sharply by 40bps QoQ to 5.4%, although higher treasury gains and surprisingly lower nonstaff opex, amid bidding for a Universal Banking license led to a ~6% PAT beat, at Rs5.8bn/1.5% RoA.

YES Bank's core performance remained weak, with credit growth slowing to 5% YoY (down 2.1% QoQ), while margins remain low at 2.5%.

Black & White

Kumiai Chemical Industry (Kumiai) has revised up its H1FY25 revenue guidance by ~9% to JPY96bn from JPY88bn, citing that net sales are expected to exceed the forecast due to advanced shipment to overseas markets in its Agchem business.

The EPC segment's revenue grew 46.7% YoY to Rs. 603cr due to effective execution of the RDSS order book. EBITDA rose 34.1% YoY to Rs. 1,025cr and EBITDA margin expanded 100bps to 14.7% owing to profits in the FMEG sector and strong margin in the EPC segment....

We've been long critical of Colgate India's (consistent) strategy of not investing (enough) for toothpaste category growth (our opinion), not aggressive (enough) in diversifying outside of oralcare (parent has a good HPC portfolio though), over-earning, in our opinion (operating margins at ~37% after adding back royalty).

IndusInd Bank (IIB) reported higher-than-expected Q4FY25 loss of INR 22.4bn (RoA of -1.74%) burdened by multiple oneoffs, including derivative loss and irregularities in its MFI book while slippages/net NPA jumped QoQ.

NHPC has reported a steady result in Q4FY25 – standalone revenue grew 15% YoY to INR 21bn, EBITDA grew 4% YoY to INR 9.4bn while adjusted PAT, at INR 8bn, grew 14% YoY.

HRRL or Barmer refinery, in which HPCL has 74% stake, has witnessed cost escalation from Rs431bn projected in FY18 to Rs718bn currently. The project with 9mmtpa of refining capacity and 2.4mmtpa of petrochemicals is likely to throw poor ROCE of ~3% due to high depreciation and interest burden thereof. Additionally, Brent appears to be rising, which means gross marketing margins on auto fuels have peaked. Threat of further hike in excise duty on auto fuel also remains. Structurally, the high marketing leverage that HPCL used to enjoy...

expects the cost of funds to decrease gradually in FY26 gaining from the RBI rate *over or under performance to benchmark index action, thereby expecting a steady NIM in the upcoming quarters. Rising credit cost, worsening GNPA and NNPA ratios reflected the weak asset quality of SBI Cards & Payment Services during the quarter. Increasing non-interest expenses and the loan losses provision, the factors reducing the company's profitability, remain a primary concern. Further, the macroeconomic environment continued to witness headwinds leading to stress in unsecured lending. Hence, we retain our...

We retain REDUCE on Dabur India and keep our Mar-26E TP unchanged at Rs450, on 37x P/E, as we see weak business execution. The management, in consultation with McKinsey, has refreshed the company’s vision, with focus now on seven structural initiatives.

Hindustan Petroleum Corporation (HPCL) reported better-than-expected Q4 results with standalone EBITDA of Rs58bn (up 20.8% YoY; PLe: Rs35.6bn, BBGe:Rs40.5bn) and PAT of Rs33.5bn (up 18% YoY; PLe: Rs10.8bn, BBGe: Rs16.8bn). On the refining front, GRM came in at USD8.5/bbl. GMM stood at Rs4.6/lit, and under-recovery on sale of LPG stood at Rs33bn. The stock is trading at 1.3x FY27 P/BV. In Q1-TD, Singapore GRM has remains at USD3.6/bbl, with strength in past few days. Average marketing margins on petrol/ diesel...

4QFY25 CC growth a tad below estimate but EBIT margin surprise +ve. FY25 organic rev. growth is likely in mid teen. FY26 hinted to be better.

Indus Towers’ (Indus) Q4FY25 performance was good led by, excluding acquisition, tenancy addition of 8.2k, which was much better than tower net adds of 4.3k, implying a rising tenancy sharing ratio. Tenancy adds benefitted from network rollout by VIL; and 2) strong FCF in FY25, including provision reversals.