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The quarter was supported by a well-diversified content slate and improved admissions. Near-term risks include external disruptions and regulatory overhangs like Karnataka pricing. However, a strong rebound in Hollywood content, select Bollywood hits and stable regional traction offer comfort. The company is well-positioned to...

While our EBITDA estimates are broadly unchanged, our PAT estimates for FY26E/FY27E have undergone a meaningful upward revision as we tweak our depreciation and interest cost assumptions given PVRINOX IN is increasingly adding screens via FOCO and asset light route. In 1QFY26, IND-AS 116 impact on depreciation & interest was lower by 3.7% YoY to Rs3,436mn. PVRINOX IN reported better than expected performance with pre-IND AS EBITDA of Rs950mn (PLe Rs779mn) aided by 10.4% YoY rise in SPH to Rs148 and tight cost...

The company logged a decline in revenue for the quarter, mainly due to macroeconomic headwinds faced in the advertising segment. Despite the challenges faced, ZEEL remains optimistic about the future with rising viewership, cost reduction and higher profitability. The upcoming festive season is expected to drive revenue in the advertising segment. With efficient execution in programming and technology as well as continuous cost optimisation in ZEE5, the company's...

We cut our FY27E EPS estimates by 4% as we account for dilution impact resulting from issuance of ~169.5mn fully convertible warrants at a price of Rs132 on a preferential basis to entities forming part of the promoter group. Out of the total preferential proceeds of ~Rs22.4bn, Z IN plans to deploy ~Rs10bn towards building new businesses, ~Rs7.1bn towards inorganic expansion while the balance will be utilized for general & corporate purposes. Post warrant conversion, promoter stake will increase to 18.3% lending better execution comfort on achieving 1) TV viewership share of ~17.5%, 2) adrevenue growth of ~8-10% and 3) EBITDA margin of ~18-20% in FY26E. We...

Zee’s Board of Directors has approved the issuance of up to 169.5m fully convertible warrants to promoter group entities on a preferential basis at INR132 per warrant (~2.6% premium to the SEBI floor price).

We increase our EPS estimates by 6%/2% for FY26E/FY27E and upgrade our rating to BUY (earlier HOLD) with a TP of Rs137 as we revise our target multiple to 11x (earlier 10x) amid sustained improvement in operating performance since last 4 quarters. Despite a weak ad-environment, ZEEL reported better than expected performance with EBITDA margin of 13.1% (PLe 12.5%) led by cost optimization efforts and narrowing losses in ZEE5. In FY25, ZEEL's content and employee cost was down 10.4% and 9.0% respectively while operating loss in ZEE5 almost halved leading to 390 bps expansion in EBITDA margin. While...

Ad revenue declined 6.4% YoY in Q3FY25 as there was a sharp cut in ad spends by FMCG companies in Nov’24 and Dec’24. Subscription grew 2% YoY, lower than our estimated 4% YoY, as pricing hikes by the company are taking time to implement.

Quarterly Update Q2FY25

PVRINOX’s revenue stood at Rs. 1,622, up~36% q-o-q/down 19% y-o-y, beating our estimate of Rs. 1,581 crore.

Post Covid, PVR Inox’s stock performance has been tracking box office collections/upcoming pipeline. After a dull H1CY24, box office collections have picked up and are expected to further improve in Q3FY25.

We have believed that a weak content pipeline is to be blamed for the weak performance of the movie exhibition industry over the last year and not a structural shift in consumer behaviour towards OTTs, etc.

We attended Saregama’s analyst meet (as part of RPSG investor day) where the management reiterated its revenue guidance (excluding Carvaan) of 25-26% over the next 3 years.

Quarterly Update Q1FY25

In Q1FY25, ZEEL’s EBITDA margin expanded 306bps QoQ, beating our estimates. This was driven by cost optimisation efforts such as right-sizing its tech team for the OTT offering and reducing marketing costs.

Quarterly Update Q4FY24