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Jindal Stainless (JSL)’s Q2FY26 EBITDA was 5% better than our estimates at INR 13.9bn (+17%/+6% YoY/QoQ) driven by better sales volumes.

Shyam Metalics & Energy’s (SMEL) Q2FY26 EBITDA of INR 5.4bn was 6%/4% below our/consensus’ estimates. EBITDA surged 32.7% YoY, largely driven by strong growth in steel/semi sales volumes of 12%/44% to 544Kte/370Kte.

Jindal Stainless’ (JDSL) revenue for 2QFY26 came in line with our estimates at INR109b, up 11% YoY and 7% QoQ. The growth was primarily led by healthy sales volume of 648KT, which recorded 15% YoY and 4% QoQ growth in 2QFY26.

National Aluminium Company (NALCO)’s Q2FY26 EBITDA, at INR 19.2bn, was 29% ahead of our estimates, largely driven by a sharp increase in alumina sales volumes.

NALCO (NACL)’s revenue stood at INR42.9b (+7% YoY and +13% QoQ) vs. our est. of INR37.1b. The growth was driven by favorable aluminum prices.

Consolidated net sales stood at INR660.6b (+14% YoY and +3% QoQ) against our est. of INR637.4b, driven by favorable pricing and a better product mix.

Novelis’ (Hindalco’s 100% subsidiary) Q2FY26 (adj.) EBITDA of USD 422mn (and ~USD 448/te) was 4% better than our estimates due to lower-than-expected impact of the Oswego fire accident.

Vedanta (VEDL) reported a consolidated revenue of INR399b (+6% YoY and +5% QoQ) against our est. of INR371b, driven by higher LME, improved premiums, and forex gains in 2QFY26.

We maintain our HOLD rating on the stock.

About the stock: Jindal Steel (JSL) is one of India's leading steel producers, having Higher volumes and domestic steel price stability to support profitability: In Q2FY26, JSL's EBITDA/ton fell to ~11k (vs 15.8k in Q1FY26), mainly due to higher operating costs of ~250 crore from planned maintenance and metallic purchases. While domestic steel prices are currently down 23% QoQ, management expects an improvement in NovDec'25. With higher volumes and potential price recovery, margins are likely to sustain, with EBITDA/ton projected at 12.9k/14k for...

JSL's Q2FY26 operating performance was in-line with our expectations. Revenue declined 5% QoQ to Rs117bn, primarily due to a 3% decline in NSR (owing to weak steel prices) and a 2% QoQ drop in volumes, mainly impacted by planned shutdowns. Despite volume decline, management maintained its FY26 guidance and expects steelmaking capacity to reach 15.6 mtpa by FY26. Consequently, EBITDA declined 31% QoQ to Rs21bn, with EBITDA/tonne decreasing by 30% QoQ to Rs11,129, weighed down by planned maintenance shutdown and weak realizations. JSL incurred capex of Rs31bn in H1FY26. Net debt decreased by...

SAIL's Q2FY26 performance was above our expectations. Revenue increased by 3% QoQ to Rs267 bn, driven by an 8% QoQ increase in volumes. This includes 0.30 mnT traded volumes from NMDC steel, contributing Rs 15bn to the topline. NSR decreased by 5% QoQ to Rs54,387/t, impacted by a fall in steel prices, though Rs 11.4bn was earned from sale of scraps and byproducts. Consequently, EBITDA declined 9% QoQ to 25bn, with EBITDA/tonne declining by 15% QoQ to Rs 5,114/t, primarily due to loss in volumes owing to repair works. Management indicated IISCO plant expansion of 4.5mnT will begin in FY27, with an estimated...

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Having commenced operations at its 3m tonne steel melting shop (SMS), Jindal Steel is on track to expand it by a further 3m tonnes, taking total installed capacity to 15.6m.

Consolidated EBITDA grew 30.9% YoY to Rs. 7,115cr, with EBITDA margin expanding 210bps to 15.8%, on the back of a favourable product mix and reduced operating costs due to improved operational efficiencies. Profit after tax increased more than fourfold to Rs. 1,646cr, aided by topline growth and an 64% YoY increase in other operating income. JSW Steel reported a strong performance in the quarter despite global uncertainties and a prolonged monsoon. The company is optimistic about a strong performance in the second half of this financial year, driven by rising steel prices and production. JSW has ramped up its production capacity, which is expected to support growth. The outlook for India's steel consumption remains robust, driven by supportive...

Jindal Steel (JINDALST)’s revenue for 2QFY26 stood at INR117b (+4% YoY vs. our estimate of INR107b), declining 5% QoQ due to muted realization.

2QFY26 revenue stood at INR63.8b (vs. our est. of INR60.2b), up 30% YoY but down 5% QoQ, primarily affected by muted volumes.

Tata Steel (TATA) is aggressively expanding its capacity in India to capitalize on rising domestic demand, targeting an increase from 26.5mtpa in FY25 to 40mtpa by FY30.

JSW Steel's Q2FY26 performance was broadly in line with our estimates. Revenue increased by 5% QoQ, driven by 10% volume growth as Dolvi, JVML and BPSL capacities ramped up. NSR decreased 4% QoQ, owing to a decline in steel prices. EBITDA decreased by 6% QoQ to Rs71bn, while EBITDA per tonne fell by 14% QoQ to Rs 9,693/t, driven by lower realization, partly offset by $6 savings in coking coal costs, savings in power costs and higher volumes. Management expects a recovery in steel prices in Nov-Dec'25 as they trade below the import price parity. JSW has announced two section mills to produce...

Hindustan Zinc (HZ)’s revenue at INR85.5b (+4% YoY/+10% QoQ) remained largely in line with our est. of INR81b. The growth was driven by better commodity prices, offset by lower volumes.