Upgrades

We initiate coverage on AGI Greenpac (AGI) with BUY and Sep-26E TP of Rs1,520 based on DCF method, implying 19x Sep-27E EPS. AGI is a leader in the Indian container glass (CG) industry with >20% market share.

Quarterly Update Q1FY26

sustain its volume growth. Further, the management expects EBITDA/kg to improve to ~4142, supported by rising contributions from Pharma and FMCG. Considering these positive developments, we have an Accumulate rating with a target price of Rs. 941, based on 33x FY27E EPS....

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

Mold-tek packaging's (MPL) Q1FY26 result was ahead our and consensus estimates on key parameters. After a muted performance in FY25, the company had a strong come back in FY26 with a robust quarterly performance, despite a marginal de-growth in lubricants segment and lower utilization in Satara plant. The management has guided volume growth at 12-15% and net sales increase by 18-19% for FY26. Total capacity is expected to hit 70,000MT from current capacity of 63,000MT. MPL added Hocco Industries, Veedol Corporation, Variyant Lubricant, Laurus Labs and various other prominent names as its...

the near term with 1) Growing traction in pharma business with superior EBITDA/kg of ~Rs100 2) Double digit volume growth guidance for paints led by enhanced capacity for Aditya Birla group 3) Asian paint moving towards IML with all four plant IML ready by MTEP and 4) Healthy margin outlook for ( Rs4142 EBITDA/Kg) FY26/27 led by growing traction in food, paints and pharma....

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

overall EBITDA/kg to inch upwards to Rs40/kg by FY26. realization and stable volume growth (7.3%). MTEP expects double-digit by superior EBITDA/kg of Rs100/ Rs70 for Pharma/Food business. MTEP has given positive outlook in the near term led by 1) Growing traction in...

We upgrade our rating from HOLD to BUY.

Steady operational execution; growth outlook remain healthy

EPLL reported a healthy operating performance in 2QFY25. EBITDA grew 22% YoY, led by Europe (up 2.1x YoY), followed by the Americas (up 59% YoY; ramp-up of Brazil).

Our conviction on EPL is now more fervent. EPL is at the cusp of transition– in our view, a rerating is imminent. An emerging theme is EPL’s customers taking to reducing/reusing plastic wastes.

EPL has started growing in early teens as guided and was helped by stabilisation in raw material prices, though customer prices had some tail price reduction.

EPLL reported healthy operating performance in 1QFY25, with EBITDA rising 17% YoY, led by the Americas (up 94% YoY; ramp up of Brazil), followed by Europe/EAP (up 31%/10% YoY).

Sustains operational efficiency; outlook bright

We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

For Q2FY2024, GHFL reported 0.6% y-o-y revenue growth to Rs 397 crore, in line with our estimate. The CDP segment reported revenue growth of 53% y-o-y in Q2FY2024, while the IPD segment reported a decline of 32% y-o-y in Q2FY2024.