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Supreme Industries (SI) reported Q2FY26 blended plastics volume growth of 11.8% YoY with pipes segment reporting 17.2% YoY volume growth (6-year CAGR of 10%), partly aided by Wavin acquisition.

About the stock: Supreme Industries Ltd. (SIL) is the largest domestic Q2FY26 performance: Supreme Industries reported consolidated revenue of 2,409 crore (up 5.3% YoY, down 8.2% QoQ) for Q2FY26, led by 12% YoY volume growth (down 16% QoQ) at 1,54,431 MT (Plastic piping volumes were up 17% YoY at 1,19,860 MT). EBITDA margins came in lower than estimates at 12.4% (lower 170 bps YoY, almost flat QoQ) at 12.4%. Consequently, EBITDA and net profit declined 7% YoY and 20% YoY at 297 crore and 165 crore. Share of revenues from value added products increased to 45% at 1073 crore (up 18.3% YoY) from...

at 50% discount to consensus target market value. We recently met the management of Finolex Industries (FNXP) to gauge volume growth outlook, market share dynamics, PVC resin availability, and price trends post DGTR's final findings on ADD on PVC resin. The company reiterated its 10% volume growth guidance in Pipes & Fittings (P&F) for FY26 and expects margin improvement ahead. We believe FNXP stands to benefit from 1) imposition of ADD on PVC resin given its backward integration, 2) GST rate revision on agri pipes, 3) expanding dealer/distribution network, and 4) gradual expansion in...

Astral reported a lower-than-expected Q1FY26 with pipe volume growth of 0.5% YoY (6-year CAGR of 10%). Consol. revenue fell 1.6% YoY with pipes/adhesives segments being -6.7%/+8.6% YoY. Pipes’ reported EBITDA/kg declined 14.3% YoY to INR 27.9/kg (adjusted for inventory losses of INR 250mn, it was flat YoY).

Supreme Industries' (SI) Q1FY26 volume growth was 5.7% below our estimates, due to lower volume in the plastic pipe segment (up 6.1% YoY against our est. of 7.3%) due to early monsoon, leading to lower demand in the agriculture piping segments, delay in ADD on PVC resin resulted de-stocking in the channels. EBITDA margin contracted by 250bps YoY with decrease in EBIT/kg to Rs 10.6 (down 35.9% YoY) in pipe segment mainly due to inventory loss of Rs 500mn. Adjusting for the inventory loss PAT was in line with our estimates in Q1FY26. The management has revised its FY26 guidance, raising P&F volume...

We recommend a BUY on the stock with a TP of Rs 1,680/share, implying an upside potential of 12% from the CMP.

PPFL is maintaining elevated inventory levels to strategically capture market opportunities, complemented by increased distributor incentives now set at 3%. However, a spillover in inventory loss is expected in Q1FY26 as well. PPFL navigated a challenging FY25, marked by heightened PVC price volatility, channel destocking, and subdued demand due to reduced government spending....

Beats EBITDA estimate by 47.0% on sharp sequential improvement in the pipe segment margin

Reported a healthy pipe margin in Q4FY25, despite operating amidst weak demand conditions and falling resin prices

Astral Ltd (ASTRA) has reported soft volume growth of 1.3% in the plastic pipe segment (as expected) due to weak demand scenario and delays in ADD on PVC resin prices. However, its plumbing EBITDA margin remain flat YoY at 20.4%, with EBITDA per kg for the plastic pipe segment at Rs37 even after inventory loss in Q4FY25. This was considered healthy given the current challenging demand environment, largely due to an increase in the VAP mix and cost rationalization efforts. With the upward reversal in PVC resin prices,...

Supreme Industries' (SI) Q4FY25 volume growth was 2.3% below with our estimates, due to lower volume in the plastic pipe segment (up 2.2% YoY against our est. of 5%) because of low demand in plumbing and infra segments, delay in ADD on PVC resin resulted de-stocking in the channels. EBITDA margin contracted by 260bps YoY with decrease in EBIT/kg to Rs 13.3 (down 27.8% YoY) in pipe segment mainly due to inventory losses in pipe segment. SI expects topline to reach Rs 12bn by FY26 driven by volume growth of 10-12% in pipe segment with overall EBITDA margin of 14.5-15.5%, also plastic pipe segment...

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 1,475/share, implying an upside of 10% from the CMP.

Gained market share in pipe segment in a difficult environment by offering heavy discounts to its dealers