Downgrades

Quarterly Update Q1FY26

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

Quarterly Update Q3FY25

Quarterly Update Q2FY25

Quarterly Update Q4FY24

Quarterly Update Q3FY24

estimates. The company has posted revenue of INR4,711mn with 21.6% YoY growth which was 12.2% above our estimate of INR 4,198mn. Revenue beat was mainly driven by optimum utilization of PA4 and a sharp increase in the MA realization. Despite increased contribution from high margin product (MA), gross margin witnessed 449bps contraction on QoQ basis, and 167 bps decline on YoY basis due to contraction in PAN/OX spread. EBITDA surged by 133% YoY to INR 975mn (est INR...

IG Petrochemicals Ltd (IGPL) reported strong margin performance on the back of favourable PAN/OX spread during the quarter. Revenue de-grew by 9.1% YoY to INR 2424mn (est INR 2621mn) mainly impacted by lower realization due to soft crude oil prices. However, demand is fully recovered in Paints and Plasticizers to pre-COVID levels. EBITDA surged by 191.5% YoY to INR 418mn (est INR 235mn) with 1186bps YoY expansion in margin from 5.4% in Q2FY20 to 17.2% in Q2FY21 (est. 9%). This was mainly due to 1134bps expansion in gross margin (33.4% vs 22.4% in Q2FY20) on account of improvement in PAN/OX spread. Currently, PAN/OX average (avg) spread is around $200 (vs avg $150 in Q1FY21) compared to 10-year avg of $200 vs $100 in FY20. We believe spreads can continue to remain favourable in the near term on the back of healthy demand in the Paint and Plasticizer...

IG Petrochemicals Ltd (IGPL), for Q2FY20, continued disappointing performance on all fronts. Revenue de-grew by 17.8% YoY to INR 2,666mn (est INR 2,461mn). EBITDA declined 79.9% YoY to INR 143mn (est INR 274mn) along with a 1661bps YoY contraction in margin from 22% in Q2FY19 to 5.4% in Q2FY19 (est. 11.1%). Gross margins were also depressed (22.4% vs 36.2% in Q2FY19) on account of reduction in PAN/OX spread due to extreme volatility in raw material prices and unforeseen events such as 50% water supply cut in MIDC area along with multiple time power issues which affected 8 days production volume. Overall one time expenses related to plant restart to reach optimum utilization level along with repair & maintenance was ~INR 80mn (included in other operating expense). During H1FY20, production of PAN volume de-grew by 8.8% on a sequential and 5.3% on...

IGPL with PAN capacities coming on stream by the end of CY19 is well placed to capitalize on domestic opportunities. However, the near term consumption demand downturn remains a concern. Maintain BUY....

Strong downstream demand from diverse user industries and limited global capacity additions to help sustain PAN demand. We lower our FY20/21E estimates to factor in lower EBIDTA margins (17% vs 20% earlier) and delay in commissioning of new project. IGPL's planned...

Carbon segment under pressure, ACM is improving Earnings and SOTP reduced; Maintain Buy 3QCY18 EBITDA declined 26% QoQ to INR5.1b (22% miss), led by a sharp fall in the Carbon segment performance. Other segments, however, performed well. Finance cost was flat QoQ, but down 23% YoY due to refinancing of debt in January 2018. PAT (after MI) declined 41% QoQ (-29% YoY) to INR1.75b. Carbon lower volumes, prices and margins: CPC volumes declined 21% QoQ to 375kt, impacted by the pet coke import ban. EBITDA/t was down 17% QoQ...

Rain Industries Q2CY18 result was slightly ahead of our forecasts. Sales increased 15.1% QoQ to Rs38,126 mn led by higher CPC volumes. Although Carbon Products EBITDA/tonne fell 15.1% QoQ to $110; nevertheless, CPC volumes (a concern in Q1CY18) recovered 21.8% QoQ to 474 kt. Overall, EBITDA was better than our forecast at Rs7,017 mn (+8.5% QoQ) on better than expected Advanced Carbon Materials (ACM)...

mainly due to favorable PAN/OX spread. During Q1FY19, production of PAN volume has shown 8.1% growth on the sequential basis from 37,000 in Q4FY18 to 40,000 in Q1.On a sequential basis EBITDA margin shown solid improvement (20.4% in Q4FY18) due to the higher gross margin of 35.5% com- Sector Outlook...

Rain Industries reported weaker than expected Carbon Product segment volumes; segment EBTIDA/tonne declined modestly to $128 (-2.7% QoQ). Carbon Products EBITDA stood at Rs5,524 mn(+100.2% YoY, -3.5% QoQ).However, Advanced Materials EBITDA fell 40.7% YoY to Rs908 mn on maintenance shutdowns...