Downgrades

With a 4% upside from the CMP, we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock.

We retain REDUCE on PAG and Sep-26E TP of Rs39,450 (45x P/E), as sub-par growth trends continued in Q2. PAG’s Q2 EBITDA was 6-18% lower than street’s/our estimates, on a 2-6% revenue miss and 100-300bps lower EBITDA margin.

Page Industries (PAGE) reported muted revenue growth of 4% YoY, with volume growth of 2.5% (est. 4%; 2% in 1QFY26) to 56.6m units.

Go Fashion reported a broadly stable performance for Q2FY26 with an improved channel mix, supported by stronger LFS traction (26.8% vs. 23.5% YoY) and steady EBO momentum.

Go Fashion reported yet another muted quarter with revenue growth of 7%. A strong pickup in LFS (up 18% YoY) was offset by persistent weakness in same-store sales (-4%).

VIP's Q1FY26 performance was below our expectations on all fronts. Revenue declined 12% YoY to Rs5.6bn, due to 8% YoY drop in volumes and 4% YoY decrease in NSR. This is due to sudden drop in secondary sales in E-com and intense price competition. Gross margin expanded by 69bps YoY to 45.0%. Despite this, EBITDA margins contracted 330bps YoY to 4.4%, dragged by inventory provision of Rs 150mn for slow moving SL. Adj. net loss stood at Rs150mn. Management refrained from articulating a forward strategy, citing the ongoing promoter-level exchange control situation as a limiting factor during this transition phase. We cut our FY26...

In 1QFY26, Page Industries (PAGE) reported weaker revenue growth of 3% YoY, with volume growth of 2% (est. 9%; 8.5% in 4QFY25) to 58.6m units.

Go Fashion had a muted start to FY26 with SSSG at -2%, impacted by softer footfalls, LFS channel stress, and shipment delays from Bangladesh.

SII IN reported better than expected results with revenue/EBITDA beat of 3.8%/8.3% respectively. After multiple quarters, volume growth was at par with value growth indicating price wars have stabilized. We expect irrational pricing environment to end soon amid change of guard at top-level within peer set. This is expected to bode well for SII IN as price support to e-com channel partners would come down and tangible benefits of margin expansion resulting from improving utilization at Jaipur would be visible. Additional margin kicker...

Go Fashion (India) Ltd (GOCOLORS) reported a muted start to FY26, with revenue growing modestly at 1% YoY, impacted by a 2% SSSG decline driven by weak footfalls, supply chain disruptions due to Bangladesh
import restrictions, and a 13% YoY revenue drop in the LFS channel amid partner-related challenges.

We upgrade Go Fashion to BUY (from Add) with a TP of INR 1,200 (potential ~40% upside). Gautam exuded confidence about improving macros, store expansion plans for FY26 (after a soft FY25), plans (experiments) for portfolio diversification (women's top wear, men's products), channels (attempting MBO, franchising strategies) and international expansion (opened Dubai store recently).

Arvind Fashions reported 8.5%/13% y/y revenue growth/EBITDA margin in FY25. Growth was aided by 5.5% comparable growth, network expansion (0.12m sq. ft. net addition in FY25), higher adjacent categories’ share (20%; 15% in FY24), premiumization and investments in marketing.

the cost reset cycle evident in the last quarter. Barring e-com spends, the remaining costs are transitory in nature, and we expect other expenses to decline from 31.5% of sales in FY25 to 27.1% in FY26E and further to 26.1% in...

We cut our EPS estimates by 6%/5% for FY26E/FY27E as we fine tune our topline growth assumptions amid persistent pricing pressure (volume growth of 22% has resulted in value growth of 15%). Safari reported better-thanexpected performance with EBITDA margin of 14.5% (PLe 12.8%) led by improvement in GM amid 1) reduction in RM prices, 2) better product & channel mix, and 3) lower discounts on e-com channel. Progress at the new site in Jaipur...

Go Fashion’s Q4 revenue was in line with ARe at 12.7% while EBITDA margin came in ~50bps higher at 30.5%. In FY25, it added 62 net (104 gross) EBOs.

GO’s Q4 EBITDA was 7-10% better than estimates, largely led by higher growth in the LFS channel and better gross-margin on higher credit note. Revenue grew ~13%, led by 24% growth in LFS while EBO grew 11% (SSG: 2.1%). EBO SSG was driven by gain in realizations (flat volume).

Kewal Kiran’s Q3 revenue grew 27.5% y/y on Kraus’ acquisition. Standalone sales growth was muted at 0.8% y/y. Some of the revenue loss was on Lawman brand’s discontinuation from MBO channel.

Despite muted demand, Arvind Fashions posted 11% retail LTL growth y/y, with double-digit LTL growth for all its five brands. The retail channel outshone (15% growth y/y), driven by higher ad-spend, store expansion and celebrity collaborations.