Downgrades

SAIL’s Q2FY26 reported EBITDA, at INR 25.2bn, was 23% better than our estimates, driven by higher sales volumes, better by-product sales and operating leverage.

About the stock: Jindal Steel (JSL) is one of India's leading steel producers, having Higher volumes and domestic steel price stability to support profitability: In Q2FY26, JSL's EBITDA/ton fell to ~11k (vs 15.8k in Q1FY26), mainly due to higher operating costs of ~250 crore from planned maintenance and metallic purchases. While domestic steel prices are currently down 23% QoQ, management expects an improvement in NovDec'25. With higher volumes and potential price recovery, margins are likely to sustain, with EBITDA/ton projected at 12.9k/14k for...

Regulatory Impact Update Note

Jindal Stainless (JDSL) reported in-line standalone operating performance in Q1FY26 supported by steady domestic volume growth. Overall volumes grew 8.3% YoY to 626kt driven by 9.5% YoY domestic volume growth across segments such as automotive, metro, white goods, lifts and elevators. Exports volume decline is moderated as new base sets in; which should improve depending upon geopolitical issues. Average realization disappointed with 1.6% QoQ decline (despite tad inch up in domestic SS prices) due to continued pressure from imports and inch up in series 400 volumes. Mgmt. reiterated its...

We maintain our HOLD rating on the stock.

JSW Steel`s consolidated EBITDA beat BB consensus estimate by 5% as the overall performance in the standalone as well as the subsidiary level witnessed sharp improvement.

We downgrade our rating on the stock to HOLD.

JSTL has given FY26 cons prod / sales guidance of 30.5mt/ 29.2mt. JSW Steel (JSTL) reported inline operating performance in 4QFY25 led by lower RM, operating costs and improved subsidiaries' performance. Cons volume grew 11% YoY aided by newly commissioned 5mtpa Jindal Vijayanagar Metallics (JVML) capacity ramp up and stable domestic demand. Average cons NSR declined 3% QoQ due to muted steel pricing affected by imports. Decline in coking coal consumption cost by USD15/t and lower iron ore costs drove...

Jindal Stainless (JDSL) reported largely in-line standalone operating performance in Q4FY25 led by strong volume growth. Volumes grew 13% YoY to 643kt led by strong 17% YoY domestic volume growth led by infra, metro and railways sector. Exports volume continued to remain weak and contributed ~8% to total volumes however mgmt. is seeing good traction in key quality conscious markets of EU and US in near to medium term. Average realization declined 2% QoQ as domestic pricing came under pressure post US tariff talks amid continued cheap imports from Vietnam & China. Mgmt. indicated SS...

Jindal Steel & Power (JSP) reported largely in-line cons operating performance in Q4FY25. Volumes grew 6% YoY, driven by higher capacity utilization and inventory liquidation amid stronger domestic demand. Blended NSR rose 0.5% QoQ due to weak pricing in long products, which constitute a higher proportion...

we maintain our BUY rating on the stock

Tata Steel (TSL) has embarked on a major transformation plan at Tata Steel Netherlands (TSN) – built on a multi-pronged approach to maximise production efficiencies, lower fixed costs, optimise product mix and margins.

JDSL maintains its 10% volume growth guidance for FY26, with an upward bias depending on conditions in key export markets like the EU. We met the management of Jindal Stainless (JDSL) to get an update on current demand in domestic and export markets amid the ongoing Tarriff war. Domestic volume growth remains strong, while JDSL is seeing better traction for export orders now Vs last two quarters, with the benefits expected to be visible in 1QFY26. JDSL maintains its 10% volume growth guidance for FY26, with an upward bias depending on the situation in key export markets such as...

We maintain our HOLD rating.

3QFY25 revenue stood at INR118b (flat YoY/+5% QoQ), below our estimate of INR134b, due to lower-than-expected sales volumes. Sales volume came in at 1.9mt (+5% YoY/+3% QoQ) vs. our est. of 2.18mt.

We maintain the BUY rating.

Tata Steel (TATA)’s 3QFY25 revenue came in line at INR328b, -5% YoY (+1% QoQ), primarily due to a weak ASP, which dipped 13% YoY and 2% QoQ to INR61,929/t.