Downgrades

Embassy REIT has provided strong guidance on NOI and NDCF for the next year at the midpoint. Therefore, a BUY rating is maintained with a target price of Rs 405/share, implying an upside of 11% from the current market price (CMP).

Nexus REIT clocked 18% LTL (like-to-like) consumption growth across its urban consumption centres (malls) in Q2FY24 (similar growth achieved in Q1FY24) with footfalls up 14% YoY and balance growth from high spend per customer. This resulted in Q2FY24 NOI of INR3.5bn which grew 17% YoY.

We have BUY on stock

Company Outlook & Guidance: The distribution growth did not flow through due to higher interest costs and the refinancing of zero-coupon bonds.

The Embassy Office Parks REIT (Embassy REIT) delivered a resilient performance in Q1FY24 with NOI of INR7.4bn (up 8% QoQ) and NDCF of INR5.1bn or INR5.4/unit. During the quarter, the REIT manager achieved 1.1msf of leasing and expects to achieve 6.0msf of gross leasing in FY24.

The Brookfield India REIT (BIRET) saw Q4FY23 NOI remaining flat QoQ at Rs2.4bn as portfolio committed occupancy remained flat at 84%. The REIT manager has proposed to acquire two RoFO assets (Downtown, Powai and G1, Gurugram) for a GAV of Rs109.0bn in 50:50 partnership with GIC Singapore which would require the REIT manager to raise Rs34bn of equity at REIT level to fund the acquisition.

Mindspace Business Parks REIT (MREIT) delivered a steady performance in Q4FY23 with both revenue and NOI declining 1% QoQ to Rs5.4bn and Rs4.4bn, respectively. Overall portfolio occupancy as of Mar’23 was at 83.4% (decline of 30bps QoQ) with committed occupancy at 89.0% (up 70bps QoQ).

Company Outlook & Guidance: The distribution growth did not flow through due to higher interest costs and the refinancing of zero-coupon bonds. Citing a lack of regulatory and macroeconomic clarity, the management has refrained from giving any guidance.

The Embassy Office Parks REIT (Embassy REIT) delivered a resilient Q4FY23 performance with same-store office portfolio occupancy levels remaining flattish QoQ at 87% while NOI declined 4% QoQ owing to one-time repairs and maintenance costs.

The Brookfield India REIT (BIRET) saw Q3FY23 NOI remaining flat QoQ at Rs2.4bn as portfolio committed occupancy also remained flattish at 83%. While delay in DESH (SEZ) Bill and global macro factors continue to impact large leasing deals, small and mid-sized deals continue to see traction.

We recommend a BUY rating on the stock.

The Embassy Office Parks REIT (Embassy REIT) delivered a resilient Q3FY23 performance with same-store office portfolio occupancy levels remaining flattish QoQ at 88% and NOI remaining flat QoQ at Rs7.0bn.

Technology and Finance sectors are adding more growth to the company. We recommend a BUY rating on the stock with a target price of Rs 400.

We believe Embassy REIT would be in a position to ride the current turbulence and hence recommend HOLD on Embassy REIT with a target price of Rs 340 (arrived using DCF valuations). At CMP, the dividend yield is around 8.5%.

Embassy Office Parks REIT delivered a steady set of numbers in Q1FY21 amidst an uncertain environment. Q1FY21 revenue fell by 4% to Rs 516 cr while the EBIDTA remained flat at Rs 418 cr; EBIDTA margins expanded by 283 bps (YoY) to 80.9%. Company reported NoI of Rs 456.9 cr (up 1% YoY)

Embassy Office Parks REIT delivered on itsrevised distribution guidance with a total distribution of Rs 1882 cr. Their Q4FY20 revenue came in at Rs 543 cr, 8% growth YoY missing estimates of 14% growth.