CDSL’s operating revenue declined 1% YoY but grew 23% QoQ to INR3.2b (7% beat) in 2QFY26.

KFin Technologies (KFin) reported a 10% YoY growth in operating revenue to INR3.1b in 2QFY26 (in line). The revenue was driven by 10%/16%/33% YoY growth in domestic MF solutions/issuer solutions/international solutions segments.

The opportunities for the entire Indian capital market ecosystem over the next decade, with a rising financialization trend but low penetration (demat penetration at 15% vs 60%+ in the US), continue to be immense (highlighted in our capital market thematic report).

Prudent Corporate Advisory Services (Prudent) has progressed well in terms of AUM growth aided by MTM, traction in SIP and growth in MFDs. AUM/gross SIP flows/MFD count clocked CAGR of 40%/20%/19% between FY20–25 and grew 13.9% QoQ / 27.7% YoY /12.8% YoY in Q1FY26, respectively.

Prudent Corporate Advisory (Prudent) posted an op. revenue of INR2.8b, +18% YoY (in line) in 4QFY25. Revenue growth was fueled by an 18% YoY jump in commission & fees income to INR2.8b. For FY25, operating revenue grew 37% YoY to INR11b.

CDSL’s operating revenue declined 7% YoY and 19% QoQ to INR2.2b (7% miss), primarily due to a 36%/29% YoY decline in transaction revenue/online data charges. For FY25, the company’s revenue grew 33% YoY to INR10.8b.

Prudent reported operating revenue of INR2.9b, +36% YoY (in line) in 3QFY25, driven by 36% YoY growth in commission and fees income to INR2.8b. For 9MFY25, operating revenue rose 45% YoY to INR8.2b.

CDSL’s operating revenue grew 30% YoY to INR2.8b (10% miss) in 3QFY25, driven by 27%/87% YoY growth in Annual Issuer Charges/IPO and Corporate Action Charges. For 9MFY25, revenues rose 50% YoY to INR8.6b.

KFin Technologies (KFINTECH) reported 33% YoY growth in operating revenue to INR2.9b in 3QFY25 (in-line), driven by 37%/17%/52% YoY growth in domestic MF solutions/issuer solutions/international solutions. For 9MFY25, revenue grew 33% YoY to ~INR8.1b.

Depositories remain a structural play on India’s capital markets buoyed by higher retail participation. Central Depository Services (CDSL).

Prudent Corporate Advisory Services (Prudent) has progressed well in terms of AUM growth aided by MTM, traction in SIP and growth in MFDs. AUM/SIP book/MFD count clocked CAGRs of 28%/23%/37% between FY19–FY23 and grew by 23%/15%/5% in H1FY24. This has led to elevation in distributor rankings.

KFin Technologies (KFin) is a leading technology-driven financial services company providing comprehensive services and solutions to capital market ecosystem. We particularly note its growth potential in the emerging international segment, bolstered by strategic acquisitions while Indian MF RTA and issuer solutions provide a direct play on the surging Indian domestic capital markets and prospective AUM growth.

Depositories remain a structural play on India’s capital markets buoyed by higher retail participation. Central Depository Services (CDSL) benefits from: 1) leadership (in a duopoly) in terms of the number of demat accounts (market share at 73% as of Jun’23); 2) growth optionalities for its digital platforms (insurance repository included); and 3) steady non-market-linked revenues (from annuity issuer charges).

Prudent Corporate Advisory Services (Prudent) has progressed well in terms of AUM growth aided by MTM, traction in SIP and growth in MFDs. AUM / SIP book / MFD count clocked CAGRs of 28% / 23% / 37% between FY19-FY23. There has been a QoQ increase of 30bps in equity AUM share.

Depositories remain a structural play on India’s capital markets benefitting from higher retail participation. We believe Central Depository Services (CDSL) warrants higher valuation multiples due to its: 1) leadership (in a duopoly) in terms of the number of demat accounts

Depositories remain a structural play on capital markets benefitting from higher retail
participation.

We note the combination of increased retail participation in capital markets and increased digitisation are two structural levers for CDSL. These remain germane despite the likely dip in market-related revenues (61%/69% of total revenues in FY21/FY22) in FY23E. Optionalities, execution and duopolistic industry structure provide strong long-term earnings growth potential.

Our positive stance on Central Depository Services Ltd (CDSL) is based on the premise of its business model, positioning, and market share gains, return ratios, and free-cashflow yield. The co. has been the biggest beneficiary of the revival in capital market activities evident in 170%+ YoY in its transaction charges (35% of its revenues) and continued growth in its annual issuer charges. With tailwinds in form of GoI initiatives and efforts by CDSL at enhancing its revenue opportunities, we see drivers for strong revenue/earnings growth. However, in the backdrop of recent outperformance and need for consistency, we lower our rating to HOLD, albeit revise our TP upwards to Rs750 (valued on a two-stage dividend discount model). We have argued for valuation...

Reported rating revenues of the company witnessed a decline of 6.3% YoY to | 57.4 crore vs. >| 60 crore estimate. This was due to 2.1% YoY decline (after several quarters) in total volume of debt rated to | 382000 crore. Further, corporate/long term bond ratings (which are high yielding in nature) fell 43.5% YoY In Q1FY19, MTM gains on FMPs were lower vs. Q1FY18. This resulted in lower accrual of other income at | 4.2 crore vs. | 6.5 crore last year. Staff cost was higher due to Esop charge of | 3.66 crore...

CRISIL's consolidated revenue grew by 7.1% YoY in Q2CY18 on the back of robust growth in advisory segment (38% YoY). Though EBITDA margin declined by 75 bps YoY to 24.6%, net profit increased by 14.7% YoY on account of favourable forex movement. We expect consolidated revenue to grow at a CAGR of 12 % over CY17-19E led by broad based growth across segments. With improvement in rating business, we expect EBITDA margin to...