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for Industry - Power - Electric Utilities
In 2QFY26, Power Grid Corporation (PWGR) reported a standalone (SA) revenue of INR100b (-3% YoY), 6% below our estimate. EBITDA was 13% below our estimate at INR80.1b (-9% YoY), hit by a 55% YoY surge in other expenses.
Adjusted PAT in 2QFY26 was 4% above our estimate, mainly supported by higher-thanestimated other income. EBITDA missed our estimate as weak power demand led to soft generation trends.
We reiterate our Neutral stance on NTPC with a TP of INR380. After a 17% correction in the share price over the last 12M, valuations at 11x FY27 P/E appear relatively reasonable, even as the long-term project pipeline continues to build up, supported by an expanding footprint in nuclear, PSP, renewables, and green chemicals.
FY25 PAT stood at 3,059 Cr, but adjusted PAT stood at 2,422cr.(+27.7%) due to a one-time, non-cash deferred tax liability reversal of 637cr., following a shift to the new tax regime and reassessment of MAT credit utilisation....
The sector outlook is expected to remain positive due to industrialisation, urbanisation and e-mobility adoption in the economy along with increased capacity requirements for non-fossil fuel capacity, additional demand for electricity and energy storage requirements. It has a strong pipeline of work across segments and has won good new projects, which is expected to drive growth in the long term. It has a well-planned capex outlook for the next three years and a strong business outlook, especially in the transmission business, up to 2032. However,...
We remain optimistic about Adani Power’s long-term growth trajectory, supported by its leadership position in India’s private thermal power sector, improved coal availability, and strong operational execution.
NTPC (standalone)’s reported 3QFY25 EBITDA came in 2% above our estimates, though adjusted PAT was below due to a higher-than-expected tax rate and previous year-related adjustments.
NTPC reported standalone 2QFY25 EBITDA of INR96.7b (-8% YoY), 19% below our estimate of INR119b. Sharp rise in other opex (INR55b vs. INR34bin 2QFY24) led to the miss at the EBITDA level.
Torrent Power (Torrent) is the largest private operator of gas-based power plants and a significant portion of it is untied. Hitherto, the untied capacity was a drag.
JSW Energy (JSWE) has reported operating profit (EBITDA) of INR 14.2bn, up 16% YoY in Q1FY25, aided by new capacity addition - thermal at 0.4GW and renewables at 0.5GW and an increase in hydro power plant generation (+61% YoY).