Gujrat State Petronet’s (GUJS) 2QFY26 revenue/EBITDA stood 9%/13% below our estimate at INR2.3b/INR1.7b, as total volumes came 8% below our estimate at 28.5mmscmd.

25.8mmscmd to 29.65mmscmd during the quarter QoQ led primarily by power from Rs332 to Rs149. As a result of higher volume QoQ and lower opex, EBITDA grew a sharp 62% QoQ to Rs2bn (Ple Rs1.5bn, BBGe Rs1.6bn). PAT came in at Rs1.4bn (Ple Rs1.2bn, BBGe Rs1.1bn). The stock is currently trading at 20.6x...

Gujarat Gas (GUJGA) reported decline of 19% YoY and 5% QoQ in total sales volume to 8.9mmscmd in Q1FY26 (PLe 9.3mmscmd). EBITDA/scm of Rs6.4 was also below our estimate of Rs7.4. EBITDA stood at Rs5.2bn (-3% YoY, +15.7% QoQ, PLe: Rs6.3bn, BBGe: Rs5.2bn) and PAT of Rs3.3bn (-1% YoY, +14% QoQ, PLe: Rs3.9bn, BBGe: Rs3.6bn). Morbi continues to face slowdown. Against vol of 9.6mmscmd in FY25, we build in 9.3mmscmd in FY26E and 10.1mmscmd in FY27E. Against EBITDA/scm of Rs5.4 in FY25, we build in Rs6 and Rs5.8 for...

GAIL reported transmission volume of 121mmscmd, flat QoQ, down from 132mmscmd in Q1FY25. Trading volume stood at 105.5mmscmd, marginally below 106.5mmscmd in Q4FY25 but up from 99.5mmscmd in Q1FY25. Trading EBIT came in at Rs10.7bn, down from Rs12bn in Q4FY25 and Rs20.3bn in Q1FY25. EBITDA stood at Rs33.3bn (Ple Rs32.3bn, BBGe Rs32.6bn, -26% YoY, +4% QoQ). PAT came in at Rs18.9bn (Ple Rs20bn, BBGe Rs20.5bn, -31% YoY, 8% QoQ). The stock trades at 12.5x FY27 EPS. We value the company at 11x adj...

As a result of relaxation in pricing terms for industrials combined with incentives for goods carriers taken a few quarters back, MAHGL continued its stellar volume growth at 9.6% in Q1FY26. Adj EBITDA/scm stood at Rs9.7. As a result, Adjusted EBITDA stood at Rs3.7bn (Ple/BBGe Rs4bn, -11% YoY and +18% QoQ). Adjusted PAT stood at Rs2.4bn (Ple Rs2.8bn, BBGe Rs2.6bn, -9% YoY and +6.8% QoQ). We believe that the volume momentum is likely to sustain, especially due to strong pick up in GA3, momentum in CNG adoption by goods...

VATW's momentum in delivering strong performance is expected to continue in the medium term driven by a strong order backlog and immense opportunities it has identified in the international markets, which will enable order inflows. We expect EBITDA...

Gujarat State Petronet (GSPL) reported a sharp decline in transmission volume to downward revision. Sequentially, implied tariff stood at Rs847/mscm, -3% QoQ. Lower volume and lower implied tariff resulted in EBITDA of Rs1.2bn, -35% QoQ (PLe & consensus Rs1.9bn). Higher interest cost resulted in even sharper...

GAIL reported in-line results with EBITDA of Rs32bn (-10% YoY, +13% QoQ, Ple Rs31.2bn, consensus Rs30.5bn) PAT came in at Rs20.5bn (-6% YoY, Ple Rs19.6bn, consensus Rs20.3bn) Previous quarter had an exceptional gain of Rs24bn. For the year, adj PAT stood at Rs88.7bn, flat YoY. We expect steady growth in transmission volume from 127mmscmd in FY25 to 139mmscmd in FY26 and to 149mmscmd in FY27. However, trading segment's EBIT is expected to normalize to Rs51bn from Rs74.5bn in FY25. Tariff hike of integrated network...

We downgrade the stock from Accumulate' to Hold amid recent runup in the stock. MAHGL reported adj EBITDA of Rs3.2bn in Q4FY25, down 20% YoY (PLe: Rs3.6bn, BBGe: Rs3.5bn). Miss was mainly on account of higher opex. The adjustment is on account of reversal of discounts given to the OMCs of Rs633.5mn. Adj PAT came in at Rs2.1bn, down 22.6% YoY (PLe: Rs2.4bn, BBGe: Rs2.5bn). For the full year, adjusted EBITDA stood at Rs14.5bn, -21.5% YoY. FY25 adj PAT stood at Rs10bn, -22.7% YoY. We build in volume growth of 10%...

Gujarat State Petronet (GSPL) reported a 49%/48% YoY decline in EBITDA/PAT to INR 1.9/INR 1.36bn with EBITDA/PAT below our estimate of INR 2.1bn /INR 1.4bn.

Q2 EBITDA declined 54% YoY primarily on sharp tariff cut from May'24; GIGL called on GUJS for cash deficit support under sponsor agreement