Buy

Q2FY26 Performance: Reported revenue came in at 1823 crore, (up 12.4% YoY) with box office revenue of 983 crore (up 17.4% YoY). The footfalls were up ~15% YoY at 44.5 million and (Average Ticket Prices) ATP at 262 was up 1.9% YoY. Ad revenues were up ~15% YoY at 126 crore. F&B revenues were up 12.4% YoY at ...

Quarterly Update Q2FY26

In Q1FY26, PVR Inox’s revenue grew 23.4% YoY/ 17.5% QoQ, driven by successful Bollywood and Hollywood releases as well as initiatives like Blockbuster Tuesday and F&B combo offers.

The company logged a decline in revenue for the quarter, mainly due to macroeconomic headwinds faced in the advertising segment. Despite the challenges faced, ZEEL remains optimistic about the future with rising viewership, cost reduction and higher profitability. The upcoming festive season is expected to drive revenue in the advertising segment. With efficient execution in programming and technology as well as continuous cost optimisation in ZEE5, the company's...

ZEEL’s advertising revenue declined 9.4% QoQ/16.8% YoY, impacted by the IPL and weak FMCG spending. However, management commentary suggests early signs of stabilisation, with potential recovery supported by festive tailwinds and improving rural demand.

Top line decreased 14.3% YoY: Revenue decreased by 14.3% YoY to Rs18,248mn (PLe Rs19,733mn). Domestic ad-revenue declined 19.2% YoY to Rs7,025mn, primarily due to extended sports calendar and slowdown in spending by FMCG companies. However, total subscription revenues remained flat at Rs9,817mn (PLe Rs10,268mn). Meanwhile, other sales and services revenue declined sharply by...

We cut our FY27E EPS estimates by 4% as we account for dilution impact resulting from issuance of ~169.5mn fully convertible warrants at a price of Rs132 on a preferential basis to entities forming part of the promoter group. Out of the total preferential proceeds of ~Rs22.4bn, Z IN plans to deploy ~Rs10bn towards building new businesses, ~Rs7.1bn towards inorganic expansion while the balance will be utilized for general & corporate purposes. Post warrant conversion, promoter stake will increase to 18.3% lending better execution comfort on achieving 1) TV viewership share of ~17.5%, 2) adrevenue growth of ~8-10% and 3) EBITDA margin of ~18-20% in FY26E. We...

Quarterly Update Q4FY25

We increase our EPS estimates by 6%/2% for FY26E/FY27E and upgrade our rating to BUY (earlier HOLD) with a TP of Rs137 as we revise our target multiple to 11x (earlier 10x) amid sustained improvement in operating performance since last 4 quarters. Despite a weak ad-environment, ZEEL reported better than expected performance with EBITDA margin of 13.1% (PLe 12.5%) led by cost optimization efforts and narrowing losses in ZEE5. In FY25, ZEEL's content and employee cost was down 10.4% and 9.0% respectively while operating loss in ZEE5 almost halved leading to 390 bps expansion in EBITDA margin. While...

Ad revenue declined 6.4% YoY in Q3FY25 as there was a sharp cut in ad spends by FMCG companies in Nov’24 and Dec’24. Subscription grew 2% YoY, lower than our estimated 4% YoY, as pricing hikes by the company are taking time to implement.

PVR Inox’s ad revenue grew ~36% QoQ to ~INR 1.48bn (highest quarterly ad-income post Covid) in Q3FY25, which in our view is an encouraging development.

Nurturing Growth with a Shield of Margin Safety

Saragama's strong headline numbers masked the weakness in music licensing revenue. Consolidated revenue grew 40.3% YoY, aided by strong growth in the video segment.

Quarterly Update Q2FY25

PVR Inox’s occupancy reverted to ~26% in Q2FY25 despite a very weak content pipeline. Management has guided for significant improvement in Q3FY25.

PVR Inox’s Q2 results reflect better box office performance after a disappointing Q1. Footfalls, ATP, and SPH all improved in Q2 and were slightly higher than our estimates.