Buy

ONGC’s Q2FY26 adj. EBITDA/PAT (standalone) came in at INR 175bn/INR 98.5bn (-3%/-18% YoY) vs. I-Sec’s estimate of INR 179.7/INR 96.5bn. Slightly lower-than-estimated realisation and higher opex drove the underperformance.

PLNG’s 2QFY26 revenue/EBITDA came in line with our estimate at INR110b/11.2b. The company booked additional provisions of INR1.3b against UoP dues during the quarter.

Gulf Oil (GOLI) delivered 10.6%/3.2% YoY growth in EBITDA/PAT to INR 1.19bn/INR 0.87bn (I-Sec: EBITDA/PAT INR 1.29bn/INR 0.99bn).

Castrol (CSTRL)’s 3QCY25 performance was in line. EBITDA margin expanded 150bp YoY/30bp QoQ. Volumes were in line at 59m liters (up 7% YoY).

HPCL’s 2QFY26 EBITDA came in at INR76.2b (29% beat), aided by a higher-thanestimated reported GRM of USD8.9/bbl (48% beat). GRM, adj. for inventory gains, stood at USD8/bbl.

*over or under performance to benchmark index Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) manufactures petrochemicals, synthetic fibres, fibre intermediates, textiles, blended yarns and polyester staple fibres. Its petroleum refinery-cum-petrochemicals complex in Jamnagar, Gujarat, produces gasoline, superior kerosene oil and liquefied petroleum gas, among other products....

IOCL reported Q2FY26 EBITDA/APAT of Rs167.3/76.2bn, beating our estimates by 28%/52% on the back of better refining margins and lower opex. Core GRM of USD8.9/bbl was better than our estimate of USD7/bbl, while blended marketing margin seems largely inline.

We attended a group interaction of investors with IOCL management. Laying out his vision of a comprehensive roadmap for growth, Chairman MR AK Sawhney highlighted with the acronym SPRINT – Strengthening core business, Propel cost optimisation, Reinforce customer centricity, Integrate tech & innovation, Nurture leadership and be Transition ready.

PCBL Chemicals has shared its Vision 2030 at the group Analyst Day event held on 8th Sep'25, wherein it intends to 2x the revenues by 2030 vs. 2025, grow EBITDA to 3x and target PAT of 5x. All this will be achieved amidst calibrated capex spends (~ 3,000 crore over a 5-year period) with Net...

Natural gas revenue improved YoY aided by higher nomination gas price at USD 6.64/MMBTU versus USD 6.50/MMBTU Q1FY25 and strong new well gas contribution at USD 8.26/MMBTU, delivering revenue of Rs. 1,703cr with a 20% premium. EBITDA grew 0.5% YoY to Rs. 17,185cr, while EBITDA margin expanded 520bps YoY to 53.7%, supported by improved operating efficiency. ONGC's outlook is reinforced by its offshore exploration successes, notably the Vajramani' prospectus and Suryamani' pool discovery, highlighting its exploration *over or under performance to benchmark index led growth potential. Production from the PY-3 field along with special dispensation...

RJio has reached the milestone of 500m subscribers (~498m at Jun’25 end) and accelerated the pace of home broadband net adds to 1m+ per month.

We recently upgraded PLNG to BUY (Tide is turning, slowly) on inexpensive valuations and strong upcoming capacity growth.

Gulf Oil (GOLI) delivered 8.9%/9.8% YoY growth in EBITDA/PAT to INR 1.27bn/INR 0.97bn (I-Sec: EBITDA/PAT INR 1.28bn/INR 0.99bn).

BPCL’s Q1FY26 EBITDA/PAT of INR 96.6bn/INR 61.2bn jumped 71%/2x YoY (+24%/91% QoQ). This was despite a USD 3/bbl YoY dip in GRMs, as stronger marketing earnings and higher other income have offset the GRM weakness.

Bangladesh. Total other expenditure stood at Rs16.9bn against Rs16bn in Q4FY25 and Rs14.5bn in Q1FY25. Due to the higher other expenditure, EBITDA declined 19% QoQ to Rs16.1bn (Ple Rs24.4bn, BBGe Rs22.8bn) despite only 9%...

New Well Gas (NWG) expected at 2.6bcm in FY26 with sharply lower oil price realization of USD66.1/bbl in Q1 vs USD73.7/bbl in Rs322bn). EBITDA of Rs186.6bn (-2% QoQ) was in-line with our estimate of 187.6bn & consensus of Rs182bn. Lower DDA/write-offs of Rs80bn vs Rs111bn in the previous quarter was partially countered by lower other income of...

HPCL’s 1QFY26 EBITDA was 9% below our est., led by lower-than-estimated GRM (USD3.1/bbl). GRM, adj. for inventory gains, stood at USD6.5/bbl.

HPCL’s Q1FY26 standalone EBITDA/PAT of INR 76bn/INR 43.7bn rose 3.6/12.3x YoY (+31/+30%QoQ), vs. I-SecE of INR 82/48.4bn, respectively.

PLNG’s 1QFY26 revenue came in line, while EBITDA was 5% below our estimate at INR11.6b. Marketing margins missed our estimate as spot volumes were nil for the quarter, owing largely to muted power demand. PAT came in line with our estimate as other income was above estimate.