New Research Reports

About the stock: AIA Engineering (AIA) is India's largest manufacturer and supplier of high chrome wear, corrosion and abrasion resistance castings used in cement, mining and thermal power plants (or mills). Products include tube mill internals (grinding media, shell liners,...

Despite a weak quarter primarily due to global uncertainties, BFL's diversified streams of revenue across geographies and new businesses & verticals have led to a resilient performance. Standalone revenue for Q1FY26, de-grew by 10% YoY due to weak export revenue....

Lower than our Rs 669m estimate, MM Forgings’ Q1 EBITDA slipped 13% y/y to Rs625m due to more-than-expected other expenses. We expect 6% revenue/ EBITDA CAGRs each over FY25-28.

Happy Forgings’ (HFL)’s Q1FY26 performance was broadly in line with our estimates. HFL continued to outperform peers in Q1. While PV / industrial / domestic farm segment continues to do well, domestic CV may likely pick up going ahead.

Happy Forgings (HFL) is a leading manufacturer of complex, heavy-forged and precision-machined components. HFL’s focus on enhancing its capabilities has helped expand the company’s product portfolio and customer base across diverse segments (CV, PV, farm, OHV, industrials) and geographies.

Lower our Rs819m estimate due to less-than-expected revenues, MM Forgings’ Q4 EBITDA slipped 4% y/y to Rs724m. Growth would be supported by the domestic M&H CV volume upswing, which would come at a 5% CAGR over FY25-27 on economic activity and replacement demand.

In 4QFY25, BHFC (standalone) posted a 9% YoY decline in PAT to INR3.6b (in line). The key highlight of 4Q was that the US subsidiary achieved EBITDA break-even for the first time in many quarters.

Bharat Forge Q3FY25 consolidated revenue declined for 2nd consecutive quarter as revenue was down by 10.1% YoY, 21%/8% lower than PLe/consensus estimates. The de-growth in revenue was due to persistent challenges in European business as well as a slowdown in defence business. Consequently, this led its gross profit to decline by 3.9% YoY, however, margin improved by 376bps YoY to 57.7%. EBITDA declined by 10.5% YoY while margin remained flat at 18%. Subdued overall performance led its PAT to decline by 12.3% YoY. BHFC delivered weak Q3FY25 performance with the outlook for European...

Ramkrishna Forgings is well-positioned to benefit from sectoral growth due to its established presence, technological capabilities, and strategic access to resources.

Happy Forgings (HFL)’s 2QFY25 result was encouraging as it reported a healthy EBITDA margin of 29.2% (+190bp YoY, est. 28%) led by a higher mix of machining and industrial segment.

Broadly in line with our Rs774m estimate, MM Forgings’ Q2 EBITDA grew a healthy 7% y/y to Rs769m. We reckon the domestic M&H CV volume uptrend would hold at a 5% CAGR over FY24-27.

Adjusted PBT at Rs 126.3 crore was in line estimates, but APAT missed estimates on higher tax provisions.

We met BHFC’s management team recently to understand the company’s growth outlook in the coming years. the robust order backlog of INR54b in defense exports to be executable over the next three years.

We initiate coverage on AIA Engineering ltd with a “BUY” recommendation and a target price
of Rs 5,106/- per share. AIAE currently trades at 31X its EV/EBITDA Multiple. The company
holds a strong position in a duopoly market.