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    The Baseline

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    The Baseline
    24 Jun 2017
    Saturday Roundup: MH loan waivers to make '90% of farmers debt-free', GTPL IPO 1.5x subscribed, oil prices a looming worry for Indian oil firms

    Saturday Roundup: MH loan waivers to make '90% of farmers debt-free', GTPL IPO 1.5x subscribed, oil prices a looming worry for Indian oil firms

    The Maharashtra government on Saturday approved a farm loan waiver of Rs. 34,000 crore that would benefit 8.9 million farmers in the state. CM Devendra Fadnavis noted that this size of loan waiver would significantly impact government finances, forcing the state to cut back spending elsewhere. The waiver, he noted, would make nearly 90% of indebted Maharashtra farmers “debt-free”.

    Low and falling oil prices have impacted the economies of Gulf states, forcing them to cut back on government spending. In the oil rich region, power cuts are becoming the norm, with states saying that low oil prices mean less money available. It is also fuelling rising tensions in the regions, with over 30% of youth in Saudi Arabia unemployed, and growing dissatisfaction among the populace. In India, oil marketing companies including BPCL and HPCL say that prolonged low crude prices will impact their margins, especially in selling inventory that was previously purchased at a higher price.

    The GTPL Hathway IPO, which had seen a sluggish start, ended the third and final day with 1.5x subscriptions, The retail investor portion was however not fully subscribed, closing at 0.98x subscription. The portion of shares reserved for institutional investors was subscribed 1.48 times, while the portions reserved for high net-worth individuals was subscribed 2.85 times 

    Photo: A bear plays with a ball on a hot day in a park. Kim Hong-Ji/Reuters

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    The Baseline
    23 Jun 2017
    Dolly Khanna: performance of new stock picks in her portfolio

    Dolly Khanna: performance of new stock picks in her portfolio

    Dolly Khanna has added some stocks to her portfolio recently, and we take a quick look here at how they are doing. One of her biggest new investments is in tiles manufacturer Asian Granito India, in which she has invested Rs. 12.9 crore, and that particular stock in her holdings has gained 17.91% in the last month alone. 

    Another prominent new investment is appliances firm IFB Industries. Ms Khanna has newly invested Rs. 31.4 crore into the firm, and it has gained 21.54% in the last month. Another strong gainer in her list is Tata Metaliks, which is up 15.82% in share price. 

    One of Dolly Khanna's most successful and well-known picks was Nilkamal, the manufacturer of home and office furniture. Over the past three years, the stock rose 900%. Another investment, Thirumalai Chemicals has gained nearly 200% in the past year. 

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    The Baseline
    21 Jun 2017
    High debt companies to watch, as RBI cracks down on loan defaulters: Tata Teleservices, Bank of India

    High debt companies to watch, as RBI cracks down on loan defaulters: Tata Teleservices, Bank of India

    The RBI's list of loan defaulters against whom to begin bankruptcy proceedings was widely circulated in the media, and the share price of those firms - Lanco Infratech, Alok Industries and others - took a beating in the stock market. Debt is a creeping illness for a company, one that can eat up profit and revenue to the point that interest payments become hard to sustain. This screener looks at high debt companies, which have a 2 year net profit growth less than 10%. 

    A low debt to capital ratio (less than 0.5) indicates that shareholders have a higher stake in the company compared to creditors, while a high one tells you the reverse - that creditors have a larger stake. 

    The top BSE500 companies in the screener include Tata Teleservices Maharashtra, Bank of India, Bank of Maharashtra. Click here to see the full screener.  

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    The Baseline
    20 Jun 2017, 09:34AM
    Using this promoter screener would have given returns substantially above nifty

    Using this promoter screener would have given returns substantially above nifty

    The promoter screener, which tracks stocks with growing profits and where promoters are increasing their stake, would have provided investors with strong returns, looking at the share price history. Using this screener for BSE 500, the top three stocks that turn up are Balrampur Chini Mills , whose share price increased by over 24% in the past six months, Simplex Infrastructures Limited, and Dalmia Bharat, whose share price rose 94.4% and 71.8% respectively in the past six months.

    The only stock in the top ten stocks in this screener that saw a yearly decline rather than growth is pharma stock Glenmark - an industry where companies have taken a beating from tightening regulation as well as higher competition. The full screener can be viewed here. 

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    The Baseline
    18 Jun 2017
    Stock reports for the week: June 11 - June 18

    Stock reports for the week: June 11 - June 18

    Over 40 stock reports from Axis Direct, Religare and others are live! Stock pick of the week from analysts is Aurobindo Pharma, an exception BUY pick with a high target price in the beleagured pharma industry, with Aurobindo being the first to receive approval and launch oral suspension of gRenvela PFOS (Sevelamer carbonate). The complex molecule, which treats high blood pressure of patients on dialysis due to chronic kidney disease, is hard to manufacture and therefore offers Aurobindo a competition barrier from other pharma generics. 

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-06-16GMR Infrastructure Limited --%Buy19.45Way2Wealth
    2017-06-16Esab India Limited 651.008.46%Hold600.20Karvy
    2017-06-16Arihant Superstructures Limi.. --%Not Rated192.85ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-15Bharti Infratel Limited 440.0017.40%Buy374.80Motilal Oswal
    1x
    2017-06-15Cummins India Limited 950.003.64%NEUT.916.60Motilal Oswal and 1 other
    1x
    2017-06-15Aurobindo Pharma Limited 877.0034.38%Buy652.65Prabhudas Lilladhar and 1 other
    2017-06-15Swaraj Engines Limited 2570.009.26%Buy2352.20ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2x
    2017-06-15Prabhat Dairy Limited 140.0015.46%Buy121.25ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-15Lumax Automotive Systems Lim.. --%Mgmt Note13.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-15UPL Limited 740.00-14.75%NEUT.868.05Angel Broking
    2017-06-15Mirza International Limited 187.0015.79%Buy161.50Karvy and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-06-14Manpasand Beverages Limited 900.0015.60%Buy778.55Motilal Oswal
    2017-06-14Sun Pharmaceuticals Industri.. 650.0022.84%Buy529.15Motilal Oswal and 1 other
    3x
    2017-06-14Bharat Electronics Limited --%ACC.169.55Way2Wealth 1x
    2017-06-14Eris Lifesciences Limited IPO --%IPO Subscribe-Angel Broking and 1 other
    2017-06-14Phillips Carbon Black Limited --%Mgmt Note545.60IDBI Capital
    2017-06-14Trident Limited 98.0019.29%Buy82.15Karvy
    2017-06-14GHCL Limited 309.0027.82%Buy241.75Karvy 1x
    2017-06-14CONTROL PRINT LTD. 375.008.66%Buy345.10ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-13Cholamandalam Investment and.. 1250.0014.67%Buy1090.10Motilal Oswal 2x
    2017-06-13Multi Commodity Exchange of .. 1300.0017.42%Buy1107.10Motilal Oswal
    2017-06-13Cipla Limited 461.0014.16%Sell537.05Angel Broking
    2x
    2017-06-13Talwalkars Better Value Fitn.. 373.0022.46%Buy304.60CD Equisearch and 1 other
    2017-06-13SKF India Limited 1750.009.79%Hold1594.00Karvy
    2017-06-13DCB BANK LIMITED 200.00-4.85%Hold210.20ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-12Rane (Madras) Limited 637.0031.22%Buy485.45Way2Wealth
    2017-06-12Subros Limited --%Hold261.55Way2Wealth
    2017-06-12Amara Raja Batteries Limited 1055.0025.59%Buy840.05BOB Capital Markets Ltd. 1x
    2017-06-12R.P.P. Infra Projects Limited 343.0047.21%Buy233.00BOB Capital Markets Ltd. 1x
    2017-06-12Suprajit Engineering Limited 304.002.62%Buy296.25Axis Direct
    2017-06-12Ashoka Buildcon Limited 240.0024.38%Buy192.95Axis Direct 2x
    1x
    2017-06-12Astral Poly Technik Limited 575.00-17.22%Hold694.60Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-12Hindustan Unilever Limited (.. 1080.00-1.06%Hold1091.60Axis Direct 3x
    2x
    2017-06-12Cadila Healthcare Limited 520.00-1.03%Hold525.40Axis Direct 2x
    2017-06-12Indo Count Industries Limited --%Not Rated180.50Axis Direct
    2017-06-12Steel Strips Wheels Limited 1061.0016.69%Buy909.25Axis Direct
    2017-06-12Ujjivan Financial Services L.. 370.0013.93%Buy324.75Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-06-12Mayur Uniquoters Ltd 429.0017.57%Buy364.90Karvy 1x
    2017-06-12Atul Auto Limited 472.0012.39%Hold419.95Karvy
    2017-06-12Jain Irrigation Systems Limi.. 134.0025.94%Buy106.40Karvy
    2017-06-12CEAT Limited 1972.005.97%ACC.1860.85Prabhudas Lilladhar
    2x
    2017-06-12KEC International Limited 302.0018.78%Buy254.25Prabhudas Lilladhar
    2x
    2017-06-12ADF Foods Limited --%Not Rated275.40Prabhudas Lilladhar
    2017-06-12Ramkrishna Forgings Limited 655.0038.19%Buy474.00Prabhudas Lilladhar
    1x
    2017-06-12Lupin Limited 1526.0034.92%Buy1131.00Angel Broking
    2017-06-12Indoco Remedies Limited 150.0020.21%Sell188.00Angel Broking
    1x
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    The Baseline
    16 Jun 2017
    Technically strong value stocks: Cubex Tubings, Jindal Worldwide

    Technically strong value stocks: Cubex Tubings, Jindal Worldwide

    The screener for technically strong value stocks filters for those stocks with a high Technical Score (i.e. very bullish in share price), and have a Piotroski Score > 6. (A high Piotroski score indicates that a stock has strong fundamentals, with positive returns on assets, good operating cash flow, low or falling debt, and so on). 

    The list of companies that emerge in this screener is an interesting mix. It includes Cubex Tubings, which Trendlyne had noted last week has got Dipak Kanayalal Shah as an investor. It also includes at the top of the list firms like textile company Jindal Worldwide, which had reported strong results for its most recent quarter, and Maan Aluminium. The full list of such stocks can be found in the screener.  

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    The Baseline
    15 Jun 2017
    Promoters are buying these growth stocks: Indiabulls Real Estate, ITI Limited, Visaka Industries

    Promoters are buying these growth stocks: Indiabulls Real Estate, ITI Limited, Visaka Industries

    One of the ways to identify promising smallcap stocks is looking at companies where promoters have been increasing their stake - typically, this would suggest that the company is doing well, since the promoter feels confident enough to add to his stake in the firm.

    Such companies are available in the screener that tracks growth stocks ( stocks with net profit TTM >10%) where promoters have also increased their stake. From the above snapshot, such stocks include Indiabulls Real Estate, ITI Limited and Visaka Industries, among others. The full list can be found here.

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    The Baseline
    12 Jun 2017
    High volume, high gainers today: DCM Shriram, HSIL, Repco Home Finance

    High volume, high gainers today: DCM Shriram, HSIL, Repco Home Finance

    Some stocks in the BSE 500 saw big gains despite an otherwise muted market today, where investors and traders are awaiting inflation and IIP data. DCM Shriram was the biggest gainer on 10X volumes in the BSE500, with its share price up 5.7%, followed by sanitaryware company HSIL and Repco Home Finance, which were up 5.3% and 5.5% respectively in share price. The full list of companies seeing gains on unusual volumes, can be found in the related screener. 

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    The Baseline
    11 Jun 2017
    Stock reports for the week: June 4 - June 11

    Stock reports for the week: June 4 - June 11

    Over a hundred stock reports landed this week, with reports from HDFC Securities, Axis Direct, Edelweiss and more.

    Stock pick of the week from analysts is Dewan Housing Finance (DHFL) which has seen its target price revised upwards by multiple analysts. The company had posted another good quarter for Q4, with growth across its balance sheet, and net interest income (NII) up 29.2% YoY and 11.1% up QoQ. During the quarter, DHFL also sold 100% of the shares it held in DHFL Pramerica Life Insurance Co to its wholly owned subsidiary DHFL Investment Ltd. This added Rs. 1969 crore to DHFL's net worth - an increase of 33%.

    DateStockTargetUpside
    (%)
    TypeCMPBrokerChange in
    past 6M
    2017-06-09SPICEJET LTD. 108.00-6.70%NEUT.115.75HDFC Securities
    1x
    2017-06-09Ashoka Buildcon Limited 235.0026.75%Buy185.40HDFC Securities and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-06-09Natco Pharma Limited 1213.0013.12%Buy1072.30Edelweiss and 1 other
    2017-06-09KRBL Limited 440.005.77%Buy416.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-09IFB Industries Limited --%Not Rated644.70Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2017-06-09KEC International Limited 305.0017.33%Buy259.95Nirmal Bang Institutional
    2x
    2017-06-09LIC Housing Finance Limited 882.0016.40%ACC.757.75CD Equisearch 1x
    3x
    2017-06-09Kalyani Steels Limited 574.0035.73%Buy422.90BOB Capital Markets Ltd. 1x
    2017-06-09Dewan Housing Finance Corpor.. 480.0010.13%Hold435.85Nirmal Bang 1x
    2017-06-09Rama Steel Tubes Limited --%Not Rated127.60ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-09Tejas Networks Limited IPO --%IPO Note-ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-08COSCO (INDIA) LTD. 470.0029.64%Buy362.55Rudra Ltd
    2017-06-083M India Limited 17200.0024.25%Buy13843.25Rudra Ltd
    2017-06-08Cox & Kings Limited --%Hold241.00Way2Wealth
    2017-06-08Elgi Equipments Limited 228.008.21%Hold210.70Karvy
    2017-06-08Pidilite Industries Limited 858.006.86%Hold802.90Karvy
    2017-06-08V-Mart Retail Limited 1237.006.00%Hold1167.00Karvy
    1x
    2017-06-08Sanghvi Movers Limited 282.0012.71%Hold250.20Karvy
    2017-06-08Fiem Industries Limited 993.0014.67%Hold866.00Karvy
    1x
    2017-06-08Cadila Healthcare Limited 565.004.49%Buy540.70IDBI Capital and 1 other2x
    2017-06-08Ratnamani Metals & Tubes Lim.. 954.0028.05%Buy745.00Edelweiss
    2017-06-08Rural Electrification Corpor.. 240.0027.86%Buy187.70Axis Direct and 1 other
    2017-06-08Bharat Petroleum Corporation.. 815.0015.85%Buy703.50Axis Direct and 1 other
    1x
    2017-06-08Bayer Cropscience Limited 4200.00-10.92%Hold4714.95Axis Direct
    2017-06-08Apollo Hospitals Enterprise .. 1472.009.30%Buy1346.75Axis Direct
    2017-06-08Siti Cable Network Limited 38.0023.18%Buy30.85Axis Direct and 1 other
    2017-06-08WABCO India Limited 6610.0016.20%Buy5688.50ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-07Kolte - Patil Developers Lim.. 195.0010.14%Buy177.05HDFC Securities
    2017-06-07GAIL (India) Limited 357.006.29%Sell380.95Motilal Oswal
    1x
    2017-06-07Himadri Chemicals and Indust.. --%Mgmt Note61.95IDBI Capital
    2017-06-07eClerx Services Limited 1268.00-4.52%Hold1328.00Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-07Hindalco Industries Limited 246.0021.72%Buy202.10Axis Direct 1x
    2017-06-07Mahindra & Mahindra Limited 1426.00-0.04%Hold1426.50Axis Direct and 1 other
    2017-06-07Narayana Hrudayalaya Limited 376.0013.13%Buy332.35Axis Direct 1x
    2017-06-07Power Finance Corporation Li.. 150.0016.78%Buy128.45Axis Direct
    2017-06-07Power Grid Corporation of In.. 209.001.09%Hold206.75Axis Direct
    2017-06-07PVR Limited 1350.00-7.94%Hold1466.50Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-07Sadbhav Engineering Limited 336.007.69%Hold312.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-07Thermax Limited 1140.0018.13%Buy965.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-07TTK Prestige Limited 4600.0031.66%Sell6731.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-07MindTree Limited 424.0021.16%Sell537.80Nirmal Bang Institutional and 1 other3x
    2017-06-07Bharat Electronics Limited 204.0021.36%Buy168.10ICICI Securities Limited 1x
    2017-06-07Music (MBL) Broadcast Ltd --%Mgmt Note340.25ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-07BSE 500 --%Results Update13355.15ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-07HEG Limited 275.003.93%Hold264.60ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-07Talbros Automotive Component.. --%Mgmt Note204.95ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-06Prestige Estates Projects Li.. 282.0011.33%Buy253.30HDFC Securities
    2017-06-06United Spirits Limited 2415.001.69%NEUT.2374.85Motilal Oswal
    2x
    2017-06-06Coal India Limited 301.0015.04%Buy261.65Reliance Securities and 1 other1x
    1x
    2017-06-06MOIL Limited 406.0021.89%Buy333.10Reliance Securities
    2017-06-06Bharat Heavy Electricals Lim.. 200.0044.14%Buy138.75Axis Direct
    2017-06-06Divi's Laboratories Limited 600.00-7.81%Hold650.80Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-06DLF Limited 190.002.93%Hold184.60Axis Direct
    2x
    2017-06-06Finolex Industries Limited 562.00-12.47%Hold642.05Axis Direct
    2017-06-06Gujarat State Petronet Limited 175.002.43%Hold170.85Axis Direct
    3x
    2017-06-06Hindustan Petroleum Corporat.. 670.0024.21%Buy539.40Axis Direct and 1 other
    2x
    2017-06-06Indraprastha Gas Limited 1150.004.55%Buy1100.00Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-06Info Edge (India) Limited 891.00-13.75%Hold1033.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-06Jubilant Foodworks Limited 960.00-0.67%Hold966.50Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-06NTPC Limited 181.0014.63%Buy157.90Axis Direct and 1 other1x
    2x
    2017-06-06Oil & Natural Gas Corporatio.. 200.0018.24%Buy169.15Axis Direct 2x
    2017-06-06Sun Pharmaceuticals Industri.. 600.0014.33%Hold524.80Axis Direct
    3x
    2017-06-06Tech Mahindra Limited 431.0011.44%Hold386.75Axis Direct
    2017-06-06VA Tech Wabag Limited 750.009.95%Buy682.15Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-06Jet Airways (India) Limited 580.009.99%Hold527.30ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-06Bosch Limited 26400.0011.11%Buy23760.00ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-06Jyothy Laboratories Limited 395.002.65%Hold384.80Karvy
    2x
    2017-06-06Mahanagar Gas Limited 1053.008.56%Hold970.00Karvy and 1 other
    2017-06-06Nestle India Limited 7522.0012.82%Hold6667.45Karvy
    2x
    2017-06-05MphasiS Limited 680.005.94%Buy641.85HDFC Securities and 1 other
    2017-06-05IRB Infrastructure Developer.. 288.0025.87%Buy228.80HDFC Securities
    2017-06-05Blue Star Limited --%Not Rated626.25HDFC Securities and 1 other
    1x
    2017-06-05Hindustan Unilever Limited (.. 1200.009.68%Buy1094.05HDFC Securities and 1 other3x
    1x
    2017-06-05Nandan Denim Limited 175.0034.62%Buy130.00Ventura
    2017-06-05Suzlon Energy Limited 44.50131.77%Buy19.20Ventura
    2017-06-05Ahluwalia Contracts (India) .. 320.00-4.02%Hold333.40Reliance Securities
    1x
    2017-06-05Aurobindo Pharma Limited 700.0015.01%Buy608.65Emkay
    2017-06-05Berger Paints (I) Limited 245.00-2.47%Hold251.20Emkay 2x
    2017-06-05NHPC Limited 30.00-9.91%Hold33.30Emkay and 1 other
    2017-06-05Bata India Limited 613.0010.52%Hold554.65Karvy
    2x
    2017-06-05Gujarat Mineral Development .. 161.0013.02%Buy142.45Karvy
    2017-06-05IDBI Bank Limited --%-59.80IDBI Capital
    2017-06-05Container Corporation of Ind.. 1170.00-1.01%Hold1181.95Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Dish TV India Limited 105.0025.45%IPO Subscribe83.70Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-05Jagran Prakashan Limited 216.0015.82%Buy186.50Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Larsen & Toubro(L&T) Limited 1645.00-7.41%Hold1776.70Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-05Page Industries Limited 15800.00-2.83%Buy16260.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Prism Cement Limited --%Results Update116.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-05The Ramco Cements Limited 691.00-3.19%Hold713.75Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Redington (India) Limited 167.0019.29%Buy140.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Sun TV Network Limited 1050.0031.63%Buy797.70Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Sunteck Realty Limited 504.007.88%Buy467.20Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Suprajit Engineering Limited 304.009.75%Buy277.00Axis Direct
    2017-06-05Voltas Limited 490.00-0.43%Hold492.10Axis Direct
    1x
    2017-06-05Astral Poly Technik Limited 685.007.49%Buy637.25ICICI Securities Limited
    1x
    2017-06-05Star Ferro and Cement Limited --%Not Rated140.25ICICI Securities Limited
    2017-06-05Tata Motors Limited 560.0019.86%Buy467.20ICICI Securities Limited
    1x
    2017-06-05Simplex Infrastructures Limi.. 480.00-10.11%Hold534.00ICICI Securities Limited
    1x
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    The Baseline
    10 Jun 2017
    Saturday Roundup: June election disastrous for May, Trump calls ex-FBI director James Comey a 'leaker', smartphones to cost more with GST

    Saturday Roundup: June election disastrous for May, Trump calls ex-FBI director James Comey a 'leaker', smartphones to cost more with GST

    The UK election ended in humiliation for incumbent Prime Minister Theresa May - she'd called an early election to strengthen the Conservative majority in Parliament, but ended up losing 13 seats, including those of sitting ministers. The Opposition Labour party gained 32 seats, and May has now announced that she will be forming a minority government with the support of the Democratic Unionists of Northern Ireland. Her standing is however looking increasingly shaky as senior leaders of her party call for her resignation, although she insists on staying in her role.

    The damning testimony of ex-FBI Director James Comey, who said that US President Trump had asked him to quash an ongoing investigation, has thrown the White House into a tizzy with Trump denying the allegations - the President has said he is willing to testify under oath "100 percent" that he did not say these things to the former FBI Director, and called him a 'leaker' for providing memos of his conversations with Trump to the press. 

    Expect a sudden but temporary price spike in imported smartphones such as is the iPhone as the transition to GST takes place. The tax credit that is available for imported electronics is currently not avallable under the GST - something that tax experts say may be an oversight and may be corrected soon. In the meantime, it may be worthwhile to delay these purchases. 

    Photo of the day: Vote counts taking place in Islington, UK, as results were declared. 

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